NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	5.7 [644]		MVP	Greg Smith (HOU): +24.0%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	2.2 [608]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -13.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	41%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.09	18	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	52%	0.04	7	-0.18	3	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	9	83%	0.28	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	7	75%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	17	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.02	0.06	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	75%	0.15	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.8	29.2	18.3	26.4	2.5	29.2	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.1%

BOS -2.8%

HOU +9.3%

BOS -6.3%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.4	91.8	104.1	104.1
season	14.9	14.2		101.2	107.9
opponent	15.4	16.2		105.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	15.0	17.1	16.9	15.7
HOU	11.6	13.8	13.5	18.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	32	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-18	24	14.0	16.5	-2.51	14.7	13.7	0.95
Leandro Barbosa	14	13	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-15	18	14.6	15.9	-1.21	15.3	13.8	1.50
Jason Terry	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-16	20	15.3	16.1	-0.87	15.5	12.4	3.16
Jeff Green	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-14	16	15.7	15.7	-0.03	14.6	13.4	1.26
Jared Sullinger	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-16	20	14.0	16.4	-2.38	14.8	13.7	1.17
Rajon Rondo	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	0	-12	15.2	17.2	-1.94	13.6	15.3	-1.63
Brandon Bass	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.34	-23	11	-34	16.5	14.9	1.59	13.4	14.5	-1.18
Kevin Garnett	53	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	16.7	14.4	2.33	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Paul Pierce	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	4	-20	15.8	15.0	0.80	13.7	16.0	-2.33
Courtney Lee	55	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.10	-19	7	-26	16.9	14.0	2.88	12.8	15.6	-2.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	74	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.03	23	-11	34	13.8	14.6	-0.78	16.5	13.3	3.17
Patrick Patterson	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	-4	20	12.1	16.3	-4.18	16.3	15.0	1.33
Omer Asik	53	51	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	-1	14	14.9	13.0	1.89	15.7	15.6	0.14
James Harden	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-4	20	13.9	14.6	-0.71	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Toney Douglas	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	9	-6	15.1	12.9	2.12	14.6	16.8	-2.15
Jeremy Lin	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	6	0	12.8	15.6	-2.77	16.2	15.0	1.14
Greg Smith	44	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	13	-14	13.0	14.9	-1.89	15.6	15.7	-0.14
Carlos Delfino	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	16	-20	16.3	12.1	4.18	15.0	16.3	-1.33
Marcus Morris	34	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	24	-36	15.1	13.4	1.75	15.1	16.0	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.8%
ATL 83, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.2%
TOR 112, WAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.0%