NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	6.6 [535]		MVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): +12.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.4 [948]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -15.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	18	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	13	38%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
LeBron James	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.04	30	52%	-0.00	5	-0.13	11	100%	0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	19	60%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	100%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	66%	0.10	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16	-0.16	-0.28	0.06	-0.06	30	36%	0.02	8	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.6	24.5	15.8	26.4	1.8	33.0	128.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +61.7%

CLE -15.6%

PHI +8.5%

CLE -5.0%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	15.5	97.0	103.0	104.0
season	16.2	13.9		104.6	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.3		101.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	15.3	14.8	13.6	14.6
PHI	12.8	14.0	14.6	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	14.9	14.5	0.40	15.5	13.2	2.31
DeSagana Diop	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	20.7	14.0	6.62	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Sasha Pavlovic	11	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.8	-1.53	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Robert Traylor	73	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-9	13	14.2	15.7	-1.54	14.4	13.0	1.38
Lucious Harris	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-11	17	13.7	16.2	-2.48	14.3	13.6	0.75
Ira Newble	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	15.3	14.2	1.19	14.1	13.9	0.17
Anderson Varejao	21	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	5	-15	13.9	14.8	-0.92	14.0	14.0	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	2	-9	14.5	14.9	-0.40	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Drew Gooden	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.1	11.9	3.14	13.8	15.5	-1.66
LeBron James	101	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.6	0.0	14.63	14.0	0.0	14.02

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	96	98	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.26	14	-9	23	13.9	17.7	-3.89	14.8	9.0	5.81
Kyle Korver	91	92	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	3	-1	13.7	17.4	-3.76	14.7	13.9	0.82
Samuel Dalembert	57	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	14.5	13.4	1.10	14.7	14.6	0.13
Aaron McKie	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-5	15	14.2	13.9	0.30	15.3	14.4	0.95
Marc Jackson	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	14.2	13.7	0.46	13.8	16.0	-2.19
Andre Iguodala	76	77	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.31	-3	8	-11	14.1	13.7	0.36	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Rodney Rogers	47	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-1	7	12.8	15.1	-2.37	15.6	13.8	1.81
Josh Davis	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	5	-5	15.8	13.2	2.59	15.9	14.1	1.72
John Salmons	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	12	-19	14.0	14.0	-0.02	10.6	15.1	-4.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 86, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
LAC 105, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.8%