NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	105		Excitement	6.1 [633]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (LAC): +18.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	1.2 [990]		LVP	Tobias Harris (LAC): -8.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	9	83%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	12	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Jerome Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	22	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	16	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	4	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	20	51%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	25	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	0.7	25.4	14.5	28.2	1.6	29.4	126.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +7.7%

POR +23.4%

POR +16.7%

POR +1.3%

POR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	14.3	106.1	117.2	109.3
season	13.9	14.9		111.3	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.1		109.4	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	13.8	14.1	13.0	13.9
POR	13.2	15.0	15.3	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Robinson	14	12	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-14	17	15.2	13.6	1.57	16.3	15.1	1.26
Montrezl Harrell	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	13.8	13.9	-0.05	15.5	15.0	0.47
Boban Marjanovic	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-6	1	14.2	13.7	0.49	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Mike Scott	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	14.9	13.2	1.67	15.7	15.0	0.72
Milos Teodosic	9	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	15.7	13.7	1.98	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Tobias Harris	75	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	13.7	14.3	-0.61	15.7	13.7	2.00
Patrick Beverley	72	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	13.4	15.2	-1.81	15.2	15.4	-0.26
Lou Williams	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-8	5	13.9	13.9	-0.03	15.7	14.0	1.73
Danilo Gallinari	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	13.3	14.9	-1.60	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	5	-21	13.9	13.8	0.09	14.5	17.5	-3.01

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	-2	15	14.7	15.9	-1.25	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Evan Turner	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	1	9	16.1	13.9	2.22	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Damian Lillard	74	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	15.2	15.2	0.08	13.4	15.2	-1.81
CJ McCollum	74	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	15.2	15.2	0.08	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Meyers Leonard	24	24	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	15.0	15.3	-0.24	15.1	13.5	1.60
Seth Curry	25	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	5	1	15.2	15.2	-0.08	15.2	13.4	1.81
Jake Layman	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	7	-3	14.0	15.7	-1.73	14.4	13.6	0.82
Zach Collins	54	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	4	3	16.2	14.1	2.12	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Nik Stauskas	36	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	8	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.83	14.4	13.5	0.90
Jusuf Nurkic	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	14	-17	14.9	15.6	-0.68	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Caleb Swanigan	15	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	12	-13	15.2	15.2	-0.03	15.3	13.6	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIL 92, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CLE 98, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.8%