NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	5.0 [837]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.3 [693]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -6.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	12	64%	0.17	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Damir Markota	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	17	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.01	16	74%	0.26	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	79%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	26.7	19.6	24.0	2.5	28.6	129.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +47.5%

MIL -6.8%

TOR +2.1%

TOR +5.0%

TOR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.4	97.9	116.0	104.5
season	15.2	15.2		105.3	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	13.8	18.5	16.6	16.0
TOR	14.5	15.6	14.3	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damir Markota	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	14.4	16.2	-1.79	10.8	15.1	-4.33
David Noel	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	14.4	16.2	-1.79	10.8	15.1	-4.33
Ersan Ilyasova	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-18	19	15.3	16.2	-0.86	12.4	15.2	-2.78
Ruben Patterson	62	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-7	-3	15.8	16.4	-0.62	15.5	13.0	2.53
Brian Skinner	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-16	15	16.0	16.0	0.05	16.3	13.7	2.61
Steve Blake	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-15	13	15.9	16.0	-0.14	14.4	14.8	-0.35
Mo Williams	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-1	-15	16.2	15.6	0.65	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Charlie Villanueva	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-10	3	15.7	16.4	-0.62	15.2	13.8	1.47
Charlie Bell	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-3	-11	16.1	15.9	0.23	14.5	14.9	-0.45
Andrew Bogut	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	1	-19	16.6	14.9	1.73	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Michael Redd	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.08	-22	5	-27	16.3	15.4	0.92	14.8	14.2	0.60

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.23	30	-13	43	14.9	14.1	0.83	16.2	15.7	0.47
Rasho Nesterovic	54	53	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.19	24	-7	31	15.3	13.7	1.59	16.3	15.7	0.61
Jose Calderon	33	31	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	13	-9	14.7	14.6	0.09	15.6	16.2	-0.53
Fred Jones	45	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-3	23	15.7	13.7	2.02	16.4	15.6	0.81
Jorge Garbajosa	39	39	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	10	-3	15.6	13.9	1.67	16.6	15.6	0.96
Andrea Bargnani	22	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	16	-15	12.5	15.3	-2.85	14.7	16.4	-1.73
T.J. Ford	61	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.28	13	4	9	14.6	14.7	-0.09	16.2	15.6	0.53
Morris Peterson	65	67	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	18	-19	15.0	13.9	1.07	15.7	16.9	-1.20
Kris Humphries	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	9.2	15.1	-5.89	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Joey Graham	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	9.2	15.1	-5.89	14.7	16.1	-1.37
PJ Tucker	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	9.2	15.1	-5.89	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Chris Bosh	65	64	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.17	5	12	-7	14.9	14.1	0.82	16.3	15.4	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 105, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.9%
NYK 88, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1	93.9%