NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	7.3 [353]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +28.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	6.4 [498]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -13.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	15	69%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	13	47%	0.16	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	12	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.13	0.00	11	86%	0.32	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	7	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.09,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.09	-0.00	13	50%	0.16	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	7	42%	-0.02	5	-0.11	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	32.8	17.8	26.0	2.8	37.2	145.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +56.3%

DAL -9.7%

LAC +21.4%

DAL -19.2%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	15.4	97.9	106.5	104.1
season	14.5	15.6		104.3	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		102.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	12.1	15.6	16.2	14.7
LAC	13.6	14.1	19.6	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	57	55	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-14	22	14.3	15.4	-1.07	16.1	15.7	0.36
Mike James	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-6	6	0.0	14.7	-14.73	1.0	16.1	-15.09
O.J. Mayo	74	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-12	18	13.9	17.7	-3.84	16.7	13.1	3.53
Dahntay Jones	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	12.2	14.9	-2.73	14.0	16.1	-2.06
Elton Brand	48	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-5	4	14.7	14.8	-0.08	16.6	15.3	1.35
Rodrigue Beaubois	23	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	2	-10	17.1	14.0	3.11	13.0	16.8	-3.77
Darren Collison	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.0	17.1	-3.11	16.8	13.0	3.77
Chris Kaman	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Vince Carter	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-5	4	15.9	13.3	2.69	16.8	14.9	1.92
Dirk Nowitzki	68	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	4	-14	14.5	15.2	-0.69	15.4	17.3	-1.93
Jae Crowder	24	24	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	8	-22	17.3	13.9	3.43	13.5	16.8	-3.32

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	64	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-3	12	16.0	15.7	0.29	15.0	14.2	0.77
Jamal Crawford	52	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	14.9	17.2	-2.36	15.0	14.4	0.55
Ronny Turiaf	34	35	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-6	18	15.6	16.1	-0.48	14.9	14.6	0.25
Lamar Odom	51	49	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-2	10	16.4	15.3	1.08	15.6	13.8	1.75
Chris Paul	76	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	16.3	14.4	1.85	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Blake Griffin	64	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	6	-6	16.1	15.5	0.64	14.9	14.4	0.45
Eric Bledsoe	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	14.4	16.3	-1.85	15.0	14.7	0.33
Caron Butler	41	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	17.2	14.9	2.36	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Willie Green	29	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	9	-12	15.7	16.0	-0.29	14.2	15.0	-0.77
DeAndre Jordan	37	40	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.07	-8	14	-22	15.2	16.4	-1.22	13.3	15.7	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, SEA 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.97,0.96,0.98,1	91.9%
NOH 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	91.6%
DEN 83, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,1	91.6%