inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 118 Excitement7.1 [438] MVPRay Allen (SEA): +32.3%
Seattle SuperSonics 122 Comeback4.1 [565] LVPBrad Miller (SAC): -11.7%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.240.230.020.002569%0.2400.005100%0.05
Maurice Evans0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.020.015118%0.1600.001100%0.01
Mike Bibby0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.160.100.05-0.012462%0.212-0.05887%-0.00
Cuttino Mobley0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Skinner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.020.00125%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Kenny Thomas-0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00741%-0.021-0.03333%-0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01433%-0.031-0.03450%-0.02
Brad Miller-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.011250%-0.002-0.124100%0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.320.320.120.210.012071%0.434-0.112100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.160.160.050.11-0.00679%0.181-0.02743%-0.05
Rashard Lewis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.03-0.031371%0.223-0.09887%0.04
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01567%0.0300.00580%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00764%0.061-0.038100%0.04
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.00669%0.071-0.06475%-0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.000100%0.021-0.052100%0.02
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.011050%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.01833%-0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.61.731.319.630.62.045.1161.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +43.1%
SEA +3.3%
SEA +22.9%
SAC -19.9%
SEA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSEANBASACSEANBA
this game14.316.015.5122.9129.8104.0
season14.716.5108.1109.5
opponent15.615.6107.9106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.215.314.213.414.3
SEA14.616.017.116.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Songaila2623-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-5613.414.6-1.2414.816.4-1.61
Brian Skinner33-0.06-0.440.390.06-40-416.014.21.7612.316.2-3.83
Cuttino Mobley3029-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-1-214.314.30.0115.616.3-0.71
Brad Miller7879-0.17-0.330.15-0.418-122014.413.80.5616.712.34.41
Kenny Thomas6262-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-3214.613.80.7716.515.21.30
Mike Bibby8685-0.22-0.280.06-0.468-122014.215.0-0.7916.511.94.59
Eddie House97-0.23-0.270.040.03-95-1415.014.20.7811.116.4-5.29
Peja Stojakovic8281-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.415-91414.413.60.8416.712.24.51
Maurice Evans6667-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.363-71013.915.2-1.3716.215.60.63
Bobby Jackson1513-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-1612-2815.514.11.4712.116.7-4.60
Corliss Williamson2321-0.530.03-0.55-0.18-128-2014.014.4-0.3814.016.6-2.69

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels48490.87-0.371.230.3418-143215.316.8-1.5813.615.0-1.47
Jerome James54550.58-0.080.660.348-41216.515.41.1614.414.10.25
Nick Collison50490.500.000.490.3840416.116.00.1213.515.1-1.64
Vladimir Radmanovic50520.450.050.400.199-51414.617.7-3.0414.613.90.75
Ray Allen84850.390.110.280.3904-416.412.83.6314.214.7-0.49
Rashard Lewis81830.160.34-0.180.30-59-1416.612.83.7113.916.8-2.95
Danny Fortson16170.110.39-0.28-0.066-2813.416.6-3.1416.313.92.43
Reggie Evans3334-0.230.73-0.970.03-913-2216.815.61.1514.714.00.69
Luke Ridnour5456-0.320.82-1.130.01-1115-2616.415.50.9415.013.31.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.97,0.96,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 72, MIA 790.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,1,192.2%
IND 100, ORL 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.96,0.85,0.99,191.9%
DAL 93, LAC 990.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.96,191.9%