NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	7.2 [445]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +44.4%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	3.4 [505]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.09	-0.01	16	71%	0.36	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.10	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.04	18	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
TJ Leaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	9	18%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.25	0.19	0.00	18	77%	0.44	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.12	0.06	8	77%	0.23	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.02
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	15	57%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	43%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	11	32%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	26.3	14.4	23.5	2.5	31.6	123.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +44.6%

ORL +4.1%

ORL +12.5%

IND -11.1%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.3	100.0	108.1	109.3
season	14.5	14.9		108.4	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.6		107.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	13.3	14.4	16.0	14.7
ORL	13.1	16.2	14.4	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	62	61	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-13	19	14.8	14.5	0.27	14.9	13.3	1.60
Doug McDermott	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	0	-7	13.9	15.0	-1.12	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Myles Turner	73	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-14	21	14.5	15.3	-0.81	14.7	13.2	1.43
Cory Joseph	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-10	13	14.7	14.5	0.18	15.3	11.4	3.86
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-11	15	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.7	13.2	1.46
Edmond Sumner	23	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	3	-13	15.3	14.5	0.77	12.3	14.8	-2.51
Aaron Holiday	31	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	3	-13	13.4	15.3	-1.91	12.8	15.1	-2.30
TJ Leaf	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	3	-13	15.0	14.6	0.49	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Darren Collison	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-6	5	15.3	13.3	2.00	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Domantas Sabonis	42	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	10	-27	14.7	14.7	0.04	13.0	15.2	-2.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Briscoe	49	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-10	27	13.2	15.3	-2.04	15.4	14.0	1.35
Terrence Ross	57	56	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-8	23	14.1	14.5	-0.48	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Wes Iwundu	37	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-7	21	12.1	15.5	-3.41	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Jonathan Isaac	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.25	2	5	-3	13.7	15.4	-1.73	15.0	14.1	0.90
Mo Bamba	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-2	11	14.3	14.3	-0.02	15.2	14.4	0.81
Evan Fournier	71	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	11	-15	15.2	12.0	3.22	14.8	14.3	0.49
Nikola Vucevic	72	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	9	-11	14.3	14.3	0.02	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Aaron Gordon	66	69	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	13	-19	15.2	12.3	2.91	14.7	14.6	0.04
D.J. Augustin	50	53	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	17	-27	15.3	13.2	2.04	14.0	15.4	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.96,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,1,1	92.3%
SAC 118, SEA 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.97,0.96,0.98,1	91.9%
NOH 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	91.8%