NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	79		Excitement	6.2 [554]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (NOH): +34.1%
New Orleans Hornets	88		Comeback	8.8 [94]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): -22.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	64%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	18	60%	0.08	7	-0.18	6	83%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	12	37%	-0.10	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.18	0.02	7	106%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	13	61%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.06	9	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	7	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.22	-0.02	-0.06	12	19%	-0.09	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.6	15.5	22.4	2.5	27.5	124.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +17.3%

NOH +0.4%

NOH +10.6%

NOH +21.8%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.4	86.8	93.6	104.1
season	14.2	16.3		107.9	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		108.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	18.6	15.1	14.2	15.0
NOH	15.2	20.3	14.3	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	52	54	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.13	8	-17	25	14.5	15.6	-1.10	15.9	16.4	-0.56
Marcus Morris	40	43	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.10	4	-13	17	14.1	15.7	-1.63	16.3	16.0	0.28
Greg Smith	10	12	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-14	19	14.1	15.1	-1.00	16.8	16.0	0.81
Toney Douglas	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	15.8	14.6	1.20	16.4	16.0	0.45
James Harden	78	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-11	13	14.7	16.5	-1.72	15.5	20.2	-4.67
Chandler Parsons	70	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	5	-19	14.7	15.9	-1.19	16.3	15.6	0.69
Patrick Patterson	51	51	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.33	-13	4	-17	15.7	14.1	1.63	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Carlos Delfino	48	48	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.31	-14	5	-19	15.9	14.0	1.87	15.9	16.4	-0.47
Jeremy Lin	78	80	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.23	-18	9	-27	15.1	14.5	0.53	16.7	12.8	3.93

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	31	31	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-9	27	15.2	16.6	-1.44	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Jason Smith	53	51	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-3	15	15.5	17.0	-1.55	15.7	14.0	1.72
Ryan Anderson	49	49	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	0	9	16.6	15.6	1.01	15.9	13.9	1.97
Brian Roberts	21	21	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	18.0	15.6	2.41	17.0	14.4	2.55
Eric Gordon	57	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	7	-5	16.3	15.9	0.34	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Greivis Vasquez	75	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	9	-9	15.5	18.5	-3.01	14.3	17.8	-3.55
Austin Rivers	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	5	-1	16.1	16.2	-0.07	16.8	13.9	2.83
Lance Thomas	11	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	8	-7	19.4	15.7	3.66	19.7	14.5	5.19
Anthony Davis	39	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	12	-15	17.0	15.5	1.49	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Robin Lopez	47	45	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	9	-9	15.7	16.6	-0.94	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Al-Farouq Aminu	52	51	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.05	-10	19	-29	16.0	16.3	-0.24	14.2	16.0	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1	91.1%
PHI 110, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.91,1,1	91.0%
ATL 98, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1	90.9%