NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	7.3 [391]		MVP	Mikki Moore (NJN): +14.7%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	5.4 [387]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -20.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	12	60%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	16	50%	0.03	4	-0.13	6	50%	-0.05
Baron Davis	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	25	48%	0.01	8	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	4	69%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.07
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.04	0.03	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.02	14	43%	0.09	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	14	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	26.8	15.0	27.1	2.4	33.5	129.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -21.0%

NJN +22.8%

NJN +34.5%

NJN +11.5%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	12.5	15.2	15.4	93.3	101.0	104.5
season	13.5	15.4		105.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.7	12.7	12.5	14.7	12.5
NJN	14.1	15.0	15.8	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	22	22	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-13	18	12.4	12.5	-0.13	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Keith McLeod	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	11.2	12.6	-1.41	16.3	15.1	1.26
Jason Richardson	48	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-5	2	11.4	13.5	-2.07	14.9	15.4	-0.46
Ike Diogu	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	14.2	12.4	1.78	10.4	15.4	-5.02
Mickael Pietrus	70	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	12.6	12.4	0.15	15.7	14.1	1.58
Mike Dunleavy	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	12.6	12.4	0.20	14.6	16.0	-1.45
Monta Ellis	93	93	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	12.7	10.6	2.09	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Baron Davis	95	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	12.6	11.2	1.41	15.1	16.3	-1.26
Andris Biedrins	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	12.4	12.7	-0.30	15.3	15.0	0.32
Matt Barnes	55	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	3	-14	13.0	12.0	1.00	16.2	14.0	2.16

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	45	45	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	0	8	15.9	14.7	1.21	13.6	11.7	1.96
Vince Carter	93	92	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-1	10	14.9	17.5	-2.54	12.5	12.9	-0.46
Jason Kidd	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	15.1	15.5	-0.44	12.5	12.5	-0.04
Nenad Krstic	73	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	0	8	14.5	16.7	-2.22	12.8	11.9	0.90
Richard Jefferson	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	2	4	15.1	15.3	-0.19	12.4	12.7	-0.31
Mikki Moore	12	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	17.7	14.9	2.81	12.9	12.5	0.45
Marcus Williams	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	16.8	14.6	2.17	12.2	12.6	-0.44
Antoine Wright	50	48	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.00	0	8	-8	15.0	15.4	-0.43	12.0	13.0	-0.99
Hassan Adams	48	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	6	-4	14.8	15.5	-0.69	11.9	13.0	-1.06
Jason Collins	16	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	11	-14	16.5	14.9	1.56	11.7	12.7	-0.96
Eddie House	8	9	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	11	-14	14.0	15.3	-1.28	14.1	12.4	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, PHI 94	0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
NOH 104, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	92.6%
OKC 98, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.5%