inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 84 Excitement5.9 [647] MVPRoyal Ivey (PHI): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers 94 Comeback4.6 [336] LVPMichael Beasley (MIA): -15.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Anthony0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.030.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.011551%0.072-0.06540%-0.09
Yakhouba Diawara0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02852%0.063-0.075100%0.03
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01283%0.032-0.06250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.011136%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011946%-0.022-0.04862%-0.04
James Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00625%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00333%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.00-0.080.071258%-0.043-0.1100%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.060.02769%0.1200.00250%-0.01
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.040.02868%0.1100.00683%0.03
Thaddeus Young0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.011156%0.061-0.02333%-0.03
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.00342%0.031-0.02683%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.03-0.041050%0.062-0.07475%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.04-0.02942%0.053-0.076100%0.06
Willie Green0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.001242%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.060.01765%0.074-0.139100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.527.415.731.22.432.5136.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +12.1%
PHI +31.9%
MIA -5.8%
PHI +9.1%
PHI +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game16.715.315.594.4103.3106.4
season16.015.5105.9105.3
opponent15.915.7105.5105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.516.915.815.716.7
PHI15.713.814.217.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire27270.13-0.630.760.014-141817.516.31.2015.715.10.56
Yakhouba Diawara23-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-8625.016.58.5118.715.23.47
Chris Quinn2222-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-6216.916.60.2415.315.30.01
Michael Beasley5354-0.17-0.330.15-0.15-1-9815.418.6-3.2814.916.0-1.12
Joel Anthony1012-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-2-618.416.51.9315.115.3-0.26
Shawn Marion7275-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-6217.015.51.4315.514.50.98
Mario Chalmers7879-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-6-4-216.617.3-0.6715.215.7-0.51
Dwyane Wade7678-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.14-8-2-616.517.8-1.2715.215.7-0.45
Udonis Haslem7375-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.15-100-1017.115.02.0515.315.4-0.08
James Jones3230-0.550.05-0.61-0.23-111-1216.217.0-0.7815.515.20.24

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights41400.70-0.200.900.3213-31616.714.22.5516.516.8-0.25
Royal Ivey41410.67-0.170.840.3511-11216.814.12.7215.717.6-1.90
Lou Williams39380.67-0.170.840.3212-21415.615.10.5416.416.9-0.55
Reggie Evans37380.62-0.120.740.3011-11216.914.22.6215.817.3-1.52
Thaddeus Young60580.270.230.040.0482614.616.7-2.0817.215.71.55
Andre Iguodala72710.050.45-0.400.0219-815.116.2-1.1416.417.9-1.51
Theo Ratliff1212-0.030.53-0.56-0.0619-811.715.9-4.1914.417.0-2.62
Samuel Dalembert4239-0.080.58-0.67-0.03-212-1415.015.6-0.6218.215.52.75
Willie Green4746-0.180.68-0.86-0.15-111-1214.116.6-2.5717.615.71.87
Andre Miller6462-0.180.68-0.87-0.07-414-1815.115.8-0.6716.816.40.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 104, WAS 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,193.5%
GSW 97, NJN 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,193.0%
SAS 94, PHI 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.95,1,1,1,1,192.9%