NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	6.4 [498]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +30.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	3.7 [225]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -14.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	18	62%	0.19	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	13	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	75%	0.15	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	42%	-0.03	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.15	-0.02	11	74%	0.37	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.07	0.03	12	69%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.5	16.3	25.6	2.3	30.1	128.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.0%

PHI +13.8%

PHI +1.4%

PHI +6.4%

SAS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	15.3	98.9	112.8	106.0
season	15.9	15.1		108.2	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.1		108.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	13.5	18.1	16.9	16.0
PHI	17.7	14.7	12.4	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	51	52	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.17	8	-20	28	15.6	16.5	-0.93	14.7	14.2	0.51
Manu Ginobili	61	60	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-14	16	15.6	16.7	-1.07	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Ian Mahinmi	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	9.2	16.3	-7.07	18.7	14.3	4.49
Richard Jefferson	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-15	18	14.5	17.5	-2.95	15.2	13.7	1.47
Matt Bonner	25	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-4	-4	17.0	15.7	1.38	16.7	13.7	2.92
Keith Bogans	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-4	-4	17.2	15.4	1.80	13.7	14.8	-1.11
DeJuan Blair	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-8	4	15.4	16.3	-0.90	12.8	15.4	-2.64
Tony Parker	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-6	0	16.2	15.8	0.34	14.9	13.9	1.05
Tim Duncan	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	4	-20	16.6	14.8	1.85	14.6	14.2	0.41
Roger Mason Jr.	34	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	-1	-10	15.9	16.1	-0.22	13.6	14.9	-1.30
George Hill	68	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.08	-22	10	-32	16.8	14.0	2.88	14.1	15.3	-1.19

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	59	59	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-1	14	12.9	17.0	-4.07	15.6	16.8	-1.22
Jrue Holiday	89	89	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-2	16	14.3	17.8	-3.54	16.2	13.3	2.87
Lou Williams	50	52	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	3	6	13.6	15.5	-1.89	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Andre Iguodala	78	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	2	8	14.7	13.1	1.67	16.8	12.1	4.70
Marreese Speights	31	29	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	15	-18	15.2	14.1	1.11	15.3	16.3	-1.07
Elton Brand	65	66	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.16	12	0	12	14.4	14.6	-0.20	16.5	14.9	1.62
Samuel Dalembert	41	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	4	4	15.4	13.7	1.67	16.2	15.9	0.34
Allen Iverson	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	10	-8	15.2	13.7	1.53	16.1	16.0	0.09
Jodie Meeks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	18.7	14.3	4.36	6.3	16.3	-10.00
Rodney Carney	9	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	15	-18	16.9	14.2	2.70	13.7	16.3	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, PHI 94	0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
NOH 104, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	92.6%
ATL 70, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	92.5%