inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 104 Excitement6.4 [515] MVPBryon Russell (WAS): +17.1%
Washington Wizards 109 Comeback4.8 [333] LVPJamaal Magloire (NOH): -24.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.10.130.020.052375%0.336-0.236100%0.04
P.J. Brown0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.01583%0.101-0.022100%0.03
Elden Campbell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.002100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Stacey Augmon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00371%0.0300.001100%0.00
Robert Traylor0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.020.04-0.010.01193%0.061-0.041292%0.04
George Lynch0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021357%0.085-0.132100%0.02
Jerome Moiso-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00837%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Robert Pack-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.02629%-0.064-0.082100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.16-0.09-0.01916%-0.123-0.121100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.04-0.02781%0.1700.002100%0.01
Michael Jordan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.150.150.110.02-0.023359%0.232-0.081090%0.03
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.040.04-0.040.08-0.00850%0.072-0.04475%-0.02
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.002100%0.081-0.052100%0.01
Christian Laettner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00856%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.001133%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.01955%0.053-0.08450%-0.02
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01450%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.827.315.427.62.437.7136.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +27.7%
NOH -17.2%
NOH -1.9%
WAS +41.7%
NOH -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHWASNBANOHWASNBA
this game14.815.915.5110.6116.0101.6
season15.916.5101.6100.9
opponent15.515.6101.999.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH18.212.816.012.814.8
WAS14.518.517.613.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon20190.18-0.680.86-0.068-132114.015.0-0.9417.415.51.97
George Lynch13130.11-0.610.73-0.004-91313.115.1-1.9818.415.42.94
Jerome Moiso32310.08-0.580.67-0.127-121915.514.41.0317.115.31.81
Elden Campbell1919-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-6714.214.9-0.7916.615.70.91
Robert Traylor2830-0.15-0.350.19-0.305-101514.015.1-1.1216.415.60.86
Jamaal Magloire4442-0.20-0.300.100.07-94-1316.213.52.6616.015.70.23
Robert Pack6060-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-138-2115.613.32.2915.017.4-2.40
Courtney Alexander3132-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.26-50-514.814.80.0814.216.7-2.52
David Wesley8081-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.33-4-1-314.317.4-3.0215.915.50.45
Jamal Mashburn8180-0.580.08-0.65-0.37-72-914.715.3-0.6015.915.80.08
P.J. Brown6263-0.580.08-0.67-0.23-127-1914.415.5-1.0315.317.1-1.81

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan85860.70-0.200.900.2914-92315.519.4-3.9715.210.44.82
Juan Dixon46470.60-0.100.690.5132115.216.5-1.3314.015.5-1.49
Tyronn Lue74730.57-0.070.630.2411-61715.218.3-3.1114.515.6-1.07
Kwame Brown57570.53-0.030.550.4432114.917.3-2.3914.015.9-1.91
Etan Thomas36360.450.050.410.4505-515.815.9-0.0713.115.8-2.72
Brendan Haywood43440.010.49-0.48-0.0832116.915.01.9516.413.43.05
Christian Laettner4948-0.030.53-0.57-0.0923-116.814.81.9716.013.52.56
Bryon Russell6664-0.120.62-0.74-0.09-16-716.514.42.0314.814.70.08
Bobby Simmons1415-0.200.70-0.900.09-1015-2518.415.43.0313.914.9-1.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 84, PHI 940.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.5%
GSW 97, NJN 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,192.6%
SAS 94, PHI 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.95,1,1,1,1,192.6%