NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	6.2 [610]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +15.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	30.1 [51]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.20	0.01	0.06	12	104%	0.25	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.05	18	51%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	17	46%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08	0.05	-0.07	0.06	21	58%	0.02	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.01	13	50%	0.14	1	-0.03	16	69%	-0.02
Shabazz Napier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.07	0.03	14	62%	0.18	5	-0.11	9	78%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.05	20	63%	0.13	3	-0.07	14	100%	0.06
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	26.6	16.3	34.3	2.8	47.2	155.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +4.8%

POR +26.6%

POR +21.7%

PHI -2.7%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	14.7	107.8	109.6	107.5
season	13.9	15.2		108.1	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.7		105.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	14.7	13.6	14.7	14.3
POR	15.7	14.7	14.1	10.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	47	49	0.46	-0.96	1.41	-0.07	18	-22	40	14.3	14.3	-0.01	15.6	12.0	3.57
JJ Redick	72	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-7	10	14.0	15.1	-1.13	12.9	15.5	-2.55
Trevor Booker	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	3	-10	15.0	14.0	0.97	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Joel Embiid	78	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-4	4	14.1	15.1	-1.02	13.1	15.5	-2.44
Amir Johnson	24	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	0	-4	15.1	14.1	1.02	15.5	13.1	2.44
Dario Saric	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-7	10	14.0	15.0	-0.97	13.8	13.2	0.62
Ben Simmons	70	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.55	5	-9	14	14.3	14.3	-0.06	14.1	12.8	1.27
Jerryd Bayless	42	43	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.01	-20	16	-36	14.8	13.9	0.86	13.0	14.1	-1.13
T.J. McConnell	75	75	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.33	-18	14	-32	14.4	14.1	0.21	13.2	14.9	-1.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	57	56	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.45	15	-11	26	12.7	14.8	-2.13	14.4	14.2	0.16
Jusuf Nurkic	61	58	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-5	14	13.4	14.0	-0.53	15.2	13.2	1.97
Shabazz Napier	78	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	13.0	15.7	-2.71	13.9	15.6	-1.76
Al-Farouq Aminu	69	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	1	2	13.1	14.9	-1.80	14.7	13.6	1.07
CJ McCollum	82	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	9	-14	13.8	13.1	0.67	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Pat Connaughton	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.20	11	-7	18	14.1	13.2	0.89	14.9	13.7	1.24
Ed Davis	35	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	3	-2	14.6	13.2	1.37	13.4	14.8	-1.37
Zach Collins	35	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	3	-2	14.9	13.1	1.80	13.6	14.7	-1.07
Meyers Leonard	7	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	11	-18	13.0	13.7	-0.71	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Evan Turner	45	44	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.04	-16	20	-36	15.0	12.7	2.32	14.2	14.3	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.95,1	91.0%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	91.0%
SAC 111, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.28,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.96,1	90.1%