NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	7.6 [291]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +39.7%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	9.1 [185]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (NYK): -10.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.37	0.19	0.18	0.00	22	71%	0.41	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Mike Bibby	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	14	61%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.05
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.4	0.40	0.17	0.22	-0.01	22	71%	0.47	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.08
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.02	10	65%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	65%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	19	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	53%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	60%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	31.5	16.5	28.3	2.8	43.3	146.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +13.8%

NYK +26.1%

NYK +28.5%

SAC -22.4%

NYK +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.7	118.1	120.0	100.5
season	14.7	15.5		106.9	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	14.2	17.2	15.0	14.7
NYK	14.4	16.4	14.8	17.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	17	17	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-9	15	13.3	15.0	-1.73	17.2	15.4	1.80
Anthony Peeler	14	15	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-7	11	15.1	14.6	0.42	16.1	15.7	0.45
Gerald Wallace	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	15.6	14.5	1.19	18.1	15.1	3.00
Tony Massenburg	28	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	2	-7	15.6	14.3	1.27	16.3	15.5	0.79
Mike Bibby	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-6	9	14.6	15.0	-0.40	15.2	17.1	-1.94
Doug Christie	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-4	5	14.6	15.2	-0.61	15.4	16.6	-1.13
Vlade Divac	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-3	3	15.0	14.2	0.72	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Bobby Jackson	31	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	5	-13	14.4	14.9	-0.44	16.2	15.6	0.60
Brad Miller	81	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	4	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.24	15.6	17.0	-1.44
Peja Stojakovic	82	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	6	-15	14.6	15.5	-0.90	15.5	17.6	-2.15

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	82	83	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.40	10	-7	17	15.4	18.2	-2.86	15.1	12.0	3.07
Allan Houston	84	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-5	13	15.5	17.5	-2.02	14.9	13.1	1.77
Dikembe Mutombo	71	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	16.1	14.7	1.40	14.6	15.0	-0.32
Keith Van Horn	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	15.8	15.6	0.25	14.8	14.2	0.65
Charlie Ward	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-8	19	14.9	17.8	-2.88	15.3	13.1	2.26
Howard Eisley	28	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	11	-19	17.8	14.9	2.88	13.1	15.3	-2.26
Frank Williams	7	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	4	-5	15.6	15.8	-0.20	15.0	14.7	0.31
Othella Harrington	14	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	5	-7	16.0	15.7	0.28	13.4	14.9	-1.53
Michael Doleac	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	9	-15	17.1	15.6	1.50	14.9	14.7	0.21
Shandon Anderson	35	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	11	-19	16.0	15.6	0.34	13.6	15.3	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.28,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.28,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.95,1	92.5%
CLE 86, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.98,1,1	91.7%
DET 106, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	91.3%