NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	5.5 [695]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (MIN): +27.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	1.0 [882]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -5.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	15	54%	0.19	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Al Horford	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1	0.02	0.09	0.01	16	58%	0.17	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
John Jenkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	64%	0.13	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.09	-0.00	11	78%	0.28	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	15	66%	0.27	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.00	13	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.09	-0.02	9	33%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	11	42%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	15	45%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	26.4	14.8	28.1	2.5	32.6	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +10.2%

MIN +3.7%

MIN +12.4%

MIN +21.1%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	17.1	15.4	109.6	116.1	104.1
season	15.1	15.6		102.6	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		103.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	13.1	14.1	12.2	13.8
MIN	18.3	19.0	14.2	17.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.11	4	-9	13	11.1	14.1	-3.03	14.7	17.4	-2.64
Mike Scott	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	11.3	14.4	-3.14	17.3	17.0	0.26
DeShawn Stevenson	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	2	-9	14.9	13.6	1.27	17.3	17.0	0.28
Jeff Teague	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	15.1	12.7	2.49	16.6	17.5	-0.88
Louis Williams	84	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-10	15	13.8	13.8	-0.04	17.1	16.6	0.51
John Jenkins	52	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	13.2	14.5	-1.24	17.3	16.8	0.53
Zaza Pachulia	49	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	12.8	14.8	-1.98	17.3	16.8	0.45
Josh Smith	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	14.1	12.8	1.24	17.4	16.0	1.32
Al Horford	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	13.9	13.2	0.72	17.1	16.7	0.46
Kyle Korver	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	14.6	12.4	2.28	16.8	17.5	-0.78

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	17.0	17.3	-0.33	13.8	13.6	0.18
Alexey Shved	82	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	16.9	18.3	-1.38	13.8	13.6	0.21
Nikola Pekovic	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	17.0	17.2	-0.15	13.8	13.8	0.01
Ricky Rubio	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-5	15	16.6	17.4	-0.81	13.6	13.9	-0.36
Dante Cunningham	53	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	5	-5	16.9	17.2	-0.34	13.7	13.8	-0.04
Derrick Williams	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	0	5	17.2	16.9	0.34	13.8	13.7	0.04
Luke Ridnour	58	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	9	-13	17.6	16.2	1.37	13.7	13.8	-0.07
Greg Stiemsma	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	4	-3	17.2	17.0	0.15	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	37	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	3	-1	17.3	16.9	0.36	13.9	13.7	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.99,0.97,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.73,1	94.4%
SAC 87, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,1	94.3%
WAS 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,0.96,1	94.0%