NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	5.9 [609]		MVP	Steve Novak (HOU): +50.6%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.6 [731]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -12.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,0.21	0.11	0.15	0.05	18	65%	0.34	3	-0.13	10	60%	-0.14
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Justin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	5	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
John Salmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.51	0.51	0.02	0.48	0.00	2	75%	0.51	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.02	15	66%	0.23	5	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	12	36%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.01	20	53%	0.06	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	30.0	15.8	23.1	2.5	35.2	137.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.4%

HOU +10.7%

HOU +0.2%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.4	92.6	95.7	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		105.6	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.6	14.5	13.9	14.2	14.8
HOU	14.0	15.5	15.5	19.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	9.5	15.1	-5.57	18.3	15.9	2.43
Quincy Douby	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	6	-14	16.0	14.7	1.25	17.4	15.9	1.57
Justin Williams	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.45	11	-13	24	14.2	15.4	-1.17	16.3	15.7	0.56
Mike Bibby	52	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	15.2	14.4	0.77	14.3	17.9	-3.63
John Salmons	38	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-11	20	13.7	15.6	-1.83	17.6	14.7	2.87
Mikki Moore	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.1	-0.36	16.2	15.4	0.80
Beno Udrih	42	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	14.4	15.2	-0.77	17.9	14.3	3.63
Kevin Martin	64	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	8	-18	15.2	14.0	1.17	14.7	18.6	-3.90
Brad Miller	75	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	15.2	13.3	1.96	15.3	18.1	-2.77
Metta World Peace	83	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	1	-4	15.3	11.5	3.82	16.2	14.7	1.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	39	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-16	34	15.0	16.7	-1.69	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Shane Battier	83	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-4	10	15.3	21.3	-5.96	15.1	12.7	2.38
Rafer Alston	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	1	0	15.9	16.3	-0.36	15.2	12.9	2.34
Tracy McGrady	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	4	-6	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.2	13.0	2.18
Yao Ming	76	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	2	-2	15.7	17.2	-1.47	14.6	16.1	-1.54
Carl Landry	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	-4	10	18.3	15.1	3.29	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Bonzi Wells	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.32	-8	10	-18	16.7	15.5	1.20	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Aaron Brooks	14	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	16.3	15.9	0.36	12.9	15.2	-2.34
Steve Novak	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	9	-16	19.0	15.5	3.51	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Luis Scola	20	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	7	-12	15.0	16.2	-1.18	16.6	14.3	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 77, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.95,1	94.7%
LAC 119, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	94.5%
ATL 103, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.99,0.97,0.84,0.73,1	94.3%