NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	119		Excitement	5.3 [747]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +17.8%
Houston Rockets	123		Comeback	1.3 [1218]		LVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): -6.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.03	0.07	18	85%	0.24	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	77%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	69%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Richard Manning	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	18	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	14	68%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.19	-0.00	0.01	12	88%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.07	-0.02	16	62%	0.16	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	15	57%	0.10	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	58%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	25.0	15.8	25.3	2.5	33.3	126.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.8%

HOU +15.4%

HOU +2.4%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	15.6	119.0	124.2	104.4
season	15.8	15.5		102.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.1		103.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	15.4	12.1	15.0	14.0
HOU	13.8	15.3	15.1	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.48	16	-20	36	13.7	14.2	-0.45	14.8	15.0	-0.14
Terry Dehere	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-4	4	16.5	13.7	2.88	16.0	14.8	1.24
Richard Manning	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	15.2	13.9	1.29	15.0	14.9	0.09
Lamond Murray	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.45	9	-13	22	15.2	13.0	2.23	15.4	14.5	0.96
Darrick Martin	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	3	-10	13.5	14.4	-0.91	15.1	14.8	0.35
Brent Barry	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-7	10	14.3	13.7	0.54	14.8	15.1	-0.35
Loy Vaught	84	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	14.0	14.2	-0.26	15.1	13.9	1.25
Bo Outlaw	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	7	-18	13.4	15.1	-1.65	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Malik Sealy	61	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	15	-34	13.5	14.9	-1.42	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Rodney Rogers	90	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	1	-6	13.9	15.0	-1.08	15.0	14.4	0.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	73	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-3	10	15.0	14.8	0.20	13.4	15.9	-2.52
Charles Barkley	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	1	2	15.1	14.4	0.66	13.5	15.7	-2.16
Clyde Drexler	56	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-3	10	14.3	15.7	-1.34	13.4	15.0	-1.56
Eddie Johnson	64	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	3	-2	14.4	15.9	-1.45	14.0	14.2	-0.21
Hakeem Olajuwon	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	4	-4	16.0	12.1	3.91	14.9	11.6	3.39
Kevin Willis	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-2	8	13.7	16.1	-2.43	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Mario Elie	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	3	-2	16.1	13.8	2.34	14.2	13.8	0.38
Matt Bullard	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	6	-8	14.2	15.2	-1.01	14.8	13.7	1.10
Sedale Threatt	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	7	-10	14.8	15.0	-0.20	15.9	13.4	2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	94.8%
SAC 104, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	94.6%
SAC 87, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,1	94.5%