NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	6.0 [627]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +50.1%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.1 [1153]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -26.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.34	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.34,0.34	0.15	0.22	0.02	9	86%	0.37	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Drew Gooden	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	1	75%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	0.04	-0.01	0.09	24	58%	0.04	5	-0.11	14	57%	-0.13
Larry Hughes	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	10	32%	-0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.5	0.50	0.17	0.31	-0.02	24	65%	0.53	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.08	0.13	-0.06	7	37%	0.13	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.07
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	80%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	13	32%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	30.6	16.4	25.3	2.5	42.4	142.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.6%

NYK +16.5%

CLE -2.3%

CLE -3.3%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.6	104.4	106.7	104.4
season	16.2	15.7		105.6	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	15.8	17.8	11.1	15.0
NYK	15.9	17.7	17.4	17.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	2	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	1	-4	16.0	15.0	1.00	21.0	16.8	4.16
Eric Snow	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	4	-10	17.3	13.5	3.80	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Alan Henderson	10	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	3	-8	18.2	14.6	3.57	18.3	16.8	1.51
Drew Gooden	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.50	8	-10	18	14.6	16.4	-1.84	16.6	18.1	-1.53
Anderson Varejao	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	5	-12	16.4	13.4	2.99	17.0	17.0	-0.04
Larry Hughes	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-6	10	13.7	16.6	-2.92	17.1	16.9	0.23
Ronald Murray	73	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.57	10	-12	22	14.6	16.8	-2.22	17.0	17.0	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	32	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	11	-24	15.7	14.6	1.08	17.5	16.7	0.77
Damon Jones	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	13.9	16.4	-2.50	17.1	16.8	0.36
LeBron James	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	0	-2	14.8	19.4	-4.64	16.8	19.6	-2.78

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	37	38	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-7	16	18.5	15.9	2.56	14.5	15.4	-0.95
Steve Francis	77	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	1	0	16.9	17.2	-0.30	15.4	12.0	3.44
Qyntel Woods	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-6	14	16.7	17.8	-1.08	15.4	13.9	1.49
Jamal Crawford	85	85	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	6	-10	17.0	16.2	0.82	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Malik Rose	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	-6	14	16.6	17.2	-0.66	17.8	13.2	4.59
Nate Robinson	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.41	-8	10	-18	17.0	17.0	-0.05	12.7	17.0	-4.25
Eddy Curry	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	16.4	17.4	-0.97	16.4	14.1	2.35
Maurice Taylor	49	48	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	3	-4	17.2	16.7	0.45	14.3	15.8	-1.52
David Lee	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	9	-16	16.4	17.1	-0.74	12.4	15.7	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.83,1	94.8%
DET 90, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.7%
ATL 85, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%