NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	3.6 [1071]		MVP	Sam Cassell (BOS): +9.8%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.1 [1295]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -7.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.01	0.10	11	72%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Salim Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	10	100%	0.04
Josh Childress	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	63%	0.10	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.6	37.1	19.7	29.2	3.3	33.5	154.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.1%

ATL -10.2%

BOS +7.0%

BOS +9.8%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	17.9	15.4	100.0	129.4	105.7
season	15.4	15.6		104.2	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	15.3	16.8	14.8	16.0
BOS	18.7	17.4	16.0	19.5	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salim Stoudamire	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	7.8	16.5	-8.74	15.4	18.0	-2.61
Jeremy Richardson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	7.8	16.5	-8.74	15.4	18.0	-2.61
Solomon Jones	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.20	-9	-16	7	8.7	16.9	-8.23	16.1	18.0	-1.91
Acie Law	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-15	5	14.5	16.4	-1.89	17.9	17.8	0.10
Zaza Pachulia	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-14	3	13.7	16.6	-2.92	20.8	17.0	3.84
Joe Johnson	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-18	11	16.6	14.6	1.96	17.7	18.3	-0.65
Mike Bibby	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-8	-9	16.0	15.9	0.11	17.9	17.8	0.07
Al Horford	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-9	-7	16.8	11.1	5.75	17.5	19.8	-2.30
Josh Smith	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-11	-3	16.7	14.2	2.53	17.6	18.6	-0.97
Marvin Williams	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	-3	-19	16.9	13.3	3.64	18.5	16.0	2.47
Josh Childress	46	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-6	-13	16.4	15.6	0.80	17.7	18.0	-0.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	65	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	4	17	17.6	18.8	-1.23	16.3	15.0	1.30
Ray Allen	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	4	17	17.5	19.0	-1.49	16.8	13.5	3.32
Rajon Rondo	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	13	-1	17.2	19.0	-1.78	16.1	15.9	0.14
Paul Pierce	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	10	5	17.8	18.0	-0.21	16.4	15.2	1.20
Leon Powe	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	15	-5	18.3	17.5	0.84	15.9	16.1	-0.19
James Posey	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.29	17	8	9	19.3	16.9	2.44	15.9	16.1	-0.14
Kendrick Perkins	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.26	14	11	3	17.5	18.2	-0.73	17.5	14.8	2.72
Sam Cassell	24	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	14	-3	19.8	17.1	2.69	17.0	15.6	1.38
Glen Davis	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	23	-21	17.0	18.0	-1.01	9.2	17.2	-8.02
P.J. Brown	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	22	-19	20.2	17.5	2.69	17.4	15.8	1.62
Eddie House	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	15.4	18.0	-2.61	9.2	16.4	-7.11
Tony Allen	13	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	28	-31	16.1	18.2	-2.10	10.1	17.0	-6.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 69, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHA 91, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 90, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%