NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	69		Excitement	3.5 [1092]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +14.8%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.1 [1063]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -9.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.01	7	107%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Malik Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.15	-0.00	-0.11	7	0%	-0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	46%	0.04	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.02
Tyrus Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	5	36%	-0.03	5	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	8	12%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	62%	0.12	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	6	80%	0.06	2	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.05	18	51%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.6	31.8	20.4	26.5	3.4	32.3	147.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.1%

DET +3.0%

DET +6.0%

DET +16.3%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	17.5	15.4	73.4	104.4	104.5
season	14.5	16.8		103.1	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	13.9	14.9	11.5	13.7
DET	16.0	16.8	18.7	18.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	37	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-25	24	11.5	15.1	-3.65	17.3	17.6	-0.39
P.J. Brown	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-23	20	16.2	12.9	3.27	16.1	18.0	-1.92
Malik Allen	33	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.27	-13	-13	0	12.2	14.5	-2.34	18.5	17.0	1.45
Andres Nocioni	36	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-18	10	11.4	15.1	-3.70	16.9	17.9	-1.07
Tyrus Thomas	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-14	2	12.6	14.4	-1.81	18.2	17.0	1.16
Ben Gordon	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-15	4	14.8	12.5	2.26	18.0	16.8	1.21
Chris Duhon	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.41	-25	-1	-24	12.9	14.6	-1.71	17.4	17.6	-0.14
Kirk Hinrich	70	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-10	-6	14.6	11.0	3.63	17.2	18.2	-0.97
Luol Deng	66	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	-7	-12	14.7	11.4	3.24	17.6	17.3	0.22
Ben Wallace	68	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	-4	-18	14.5	11.5	2.99	17.5	17.5	0.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	64	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	4	18	17.9	16.6	1.23	14.6	11.3	3.36
Richard Hamilton	75	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	1	24	17.4	18.1	-0.69	14.4	10.2	4.24
Tayshaun Prince	69	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.31	25	1	24	17.3	18.2	-0.97	14.5	10.6	3.88
Antonio McDyess	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.26	19	7	12	17.8	17.2	0.57	14.0	13.4	0.61
Lindsey Hunter	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.35	21	5	16	17.8	17.2	0.60	12.9	14.3	-1.40
Chauncey Billups	52	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	21	-16	17.5	17.4	0.10	14.3	12.9	1.33
Chris Webber	38	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	24	-22	16.4	18.2	-1.80	14.7	12.9	1.78
Ronald Murray	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	23	-20	17.2	17.5	-0.30	10.5	14.3	-3.85
Jason Maxiell	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	18	-10	18.0	17.2	0.85	11.5	14.8	-3.29
Carlos Delfino	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	27	-28	17.4	17.5	-0.11	10.5	14.8	-4.36
Dale Davis	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	17.7	17.5	0.18	7.3	14.1	-6.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAS 97, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%