NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	5.3 [735]		MVP	Thabo Sefolosha (OKC): +12.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	1.2 [1259]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -9.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	62%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	57%	0.03	5	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.07	24	54%	0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	12	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	0.8	29.3	15.5	25.4	1.8	32.3	130.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +16.0%

OKC +3.2%

OKC +7.5%

OKC +21.7%

OKC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.4	105.5	125.3	104.1
season	15.2	14.8		99.7	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.6	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.5	15.6	15.2	17.7	16.2
OKC	15.5	15.0	15.4	15.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	35	34	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-27	36	14.8	17.1	-2.29	15.5	15.4	0.05
Sebastian Telfair	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-20	22	16.2	16.2	-0.05	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Marcin Gortat	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-10	2	15.9	16.8	-0.96	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Markieff Morris	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-14	10	16.0	16.3	-0.34	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Jermaine O'Neal	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-9	0	17.0	15.7	1.29	15.5	15.4	0.06
Luis Scola	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-3	-12	16.2	16.2	-0.01	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Goran Dragic	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	2	-22	16.2	16.2	0.05	15.5	15.3	0.26
Jared Dudley	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.13	-24	6	-30	16.3	15.9	0.33	15.5	15.1	0.42
PJ Tucker	74	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.01	-21	3	-24	16.8	13.6	3.15	15.5	15.2	0.23

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.04	20	-2	22	15.5	15.1	0.37	17.2	12.6	4.52
Thabo Sefolosha	60	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-1	20	15.7	14.9	0.86	16.8	15.0	1.82
Serge Ibaka	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-1	20	15.3	15.6	-0.28	17.2	14.8	2.36
Reggie Jackson	30	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	6	6	14.2	16.0	-1.80	14.5	17.2	-2.68
Kendrick Perkins	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	4	10	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.5	15.9	0.59
Russell Westbrook	61	59	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	12	-6	16.0	14.2	1.80	17.2	14.5	2.68
Kevin Martin	57	57	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	14	-10	15.0	16.2	-1.18	16.5	15.8	0.71
DeAndre Liggins	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	16.5	15.4	1.11	9.2	16.5	-7.28
Jeremy Lamb	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	16.5	15.4	1.11	9.2	16.5	-7.28
Perry Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	16.5	15.4	1.11	12.0	16.4	-4.35
Nick Collison	39	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	23	-28	15.2	15.6	-0.37	15.3	16.9	-1.53
Hasheem Thabeet	20	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	21	-24	15.1	15.5	-0.37	12.0	17.4	-5.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
IND 102, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%
LAC 82, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%