inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 98 Excitement5.4 [727] MVPChase Budinger (MIN): +13.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 110 Comeback1.3 [449] LVPBrandon Bass (BOS): -12.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.001358%0.1200.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.05-0.01-0.04780%0.133-0.0410%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.01967%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00475%0.051-0.0300%0.00
James Young-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Turner-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.010.05671%0.021-0.032100%-0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001541%-0.041-0.012100%0.01
Phil Pressey-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.030.031644%-0.023-0.07475%-0.00
Brandon Bass-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.050.021050%-0.043-0.0800%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.060.002117%0.1400.002100%0.01
Gorgui Dieng0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.03-0.021159%0.151-0.04580%0.01
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.00985%0.184-0.092100%0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.050.021850%0.112-0.06683%0.01
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.02867%0.081-0.05580%-0.00
Lorenzo Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.020.01669%0.071-0.04475%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.030.011150%0.041-0.012100%0.02
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.011143%0.0100.006100%0.02
Anthony Bennett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.624.016.625.21.834.2125.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +32.4%
MIN +21.6%
BOS -0.4%
BOS -3.8%
MIN +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMINNBABOSMINNBA
this game14.514.715.1100.0111.1104.2
season14.315.0103.1101.2
opponent15.015.4110.5103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.916.014.113.314.5
MIN15.116.014.213.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Young17150.06-0.560.62-0.064-162013.414.8-1.3414.914.70.25
Gerald Wallace1315-0.02-0.480.47-0.051-131415.214.40.8215.914.51.43
Phil Pressey1920-0.06-0.440.38-0.153-151812.215.1-2.8715.114.60.48
Tyler Zeller4143-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-10813.914.9-1.0214.914.60.34
Tayshaun Prince4547-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-151814.314.7-0.4715.713.81.96
Marcus Thornton2931-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-8413.115.1-1.9614.314.9-0.62
Marcus Smart5051-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-6013.415.7-2.2914.614.8-0.19
Brandon Bass4646-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-3-614.814.20.5813.815.5-1.71
Jae Crowder2830-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-6016.113.92.2714.414.9-0.50
Evan Turner5554-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-7215.613.22.4215.214.21.03
Avery Bradley7775-0.550.05-0.59-0.05-175-2214.913.01.9414.415.6-1.20
Jared Sullinger7068-0.660.16-0.81-0.01-2210-3215.013.21.7814.415.3-0.88

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Wiggins80800.67-0.170.830.1119-72614.615.1-0.4215.111.93.22
Nikola Pekovic54530.61-0.110.720.0818-62415.314.01.3115.613.32.28
Thaddeus Young79790.53-0.030.570.1214-21614.814.30.4614.813.51.23
Lorenzo Brown52510.330.170.150.0693614.515.0-0.5014.115.0-0.96
Gorgui Dieng72720.270.230.050.0484414.315.9-1.5614.215.5-1.33
Zach LaVine47470.170.33-0.150.0939-615.014.50.5015.014.10.96
Kevin Martin62610.070.43-0.350.16-315-1814.515.1-0.6213.715.9-2.20
Anthony Bennett2019-0.030.53-0.570.03-214-1614.314.8-0.4613.514.8-1.23
Chase Budinger2928-0.130.63-0.750.05-618-2415.414.40.9413.614.9-1.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 96, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
LAC 104, PHX 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,193.7%
DAL 109, UTA 1250.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,193.7%