NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	5.8 [672]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +13.9%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.7 [802]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -10.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.03	0.03	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.04	13	47%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	22	61%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.08	-0.04	14	49%	-0.02	4	-0.09	7	57%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	9	91%	0.22	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	18	63%	0.18	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	76%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.11	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	35.0	19.4	28.4	2.8	38.0	151.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.1%

PHX +16.3%

LAC -6.6%

LAC -9.4%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.7	12.8	15.4	107.2	114.3	104.5
season	15.7	13.8		103.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.1	15.4	15.9	16.7	16.7
PHX	12.2	13.4	11.8	14.0	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	57	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-17	26	16.7	16.8	-0.18	13.7	11.5	2.12
Sam Cassell	45	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-14	20	16.0	17.4	-1.38	14.0	11.9	2.11
Corey Maggette	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	1	-10	18.7	16.4	2.25	13.4	12.7	0.68
Elton Brand	79	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-8	8	16.7	16.8	-0.04	12.9	12.4	0.53
Quinton Ross	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	16.9	16.4	0.47	12.8	12.8	0.08
Cuttino Mobley	90	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	16.8	15.7	1.11	12.5	18.4	-5.88
Shaun Livingston	82	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	7	-22	16.8	16.7	0.09	12.1	17.0	-4.94
Chris Kaman	51	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	5	-18	16.6	16.8	-0.20	12.3	13.3	-1.06

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	74	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.09	21	-13	34	11.9	15.7	-3.77	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Steve Nash	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	1	6	12.9	12.7	0.19	17.0	15.8	1.25
James Jones	17	18	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	13.0	12.8	0.22	16.8	16.7	0.04
Raja Bell	72	70	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	8	-8	13.1	12.1	1.01	16.9	16.3	0.67
Shawn Marion	84	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	4	0	12.6	14.2	-1.63	16.8	16.5	0.25
Kurt Thomas	25	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	6	-4	11.4	13.3	-1.85	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	1	6	12.7	13.0	-0.28	17.6	15.9	1.71
Marcus Banks	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	2	4	13.0	12.7	0.27	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Boris Diaw	60	60	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.39	-13	21	-34	14.4	10.2	4.21	16.0	17.9	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%
BOS 98, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
NYK 100, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%