inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 102 Excitement5.4 [712] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +19.1%
Toronto Raptors 117 Comeback1.3 [1097] LVPEarl Watson (IND): -11.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luther Head0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.06-0.011262%0.152-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Rush0.100,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.01778%0.142-0.054100%0.03
Dahntay Jones0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.00580%0.0800.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01963%0.0800.001100%0.01
Roy Hibbert0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.01955%0.0600.00450%-0.03
Troy Murphy0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.04-0.02-0.00678%0.083-0.06667%-0.02
A.J. Price-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01750%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Danny Granger-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.031330%-0.082-0.041100%0.00
Earl Watson-0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.001437%-0.062-0.06250%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.090.08-0.022159%0.211-0.012100%0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.05-0.00894%0.222-0.041100%0.01
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.021075%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00667%0.091-0.02633%-0.05
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.011060%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00467%0.0600.0010%-0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.001265%0.123-0.082100%0.01
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.01865%0.093-0.07475%0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.029.316.426.52.527.5129.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +45.9%
TOR +1.3%
TOR +8.4%
IND -8.4%
TOR +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game14.415.215.3104.1120.6106.0
season14.215.0102.2109.6
opponent15.515.1111.5105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.913.815.314.514.4
TOR13.813.315.318.915.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roy Hibbert38380.12-0.620.73-0.128-233115.213.81.3916.514.32.20
Dahntay Jones2827-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-131114.514.30.2512.716.1-3.39
A.J. Price3737-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-171914.514.20.2916.314.51.75
Luther Head4544-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-151514.614.10.4915.714.70.99
Mike Dunleavy6665-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-9314.414.30.0215.813.91.91
Danny Granger6161-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-10-5-514.314.5-0.1616.313.33.03
Earl Watson7169-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-161-1714.414.20.1914.417.2-2.85
Brandon Rush7676-0.650.15-0.810.02-238-3114.015.5-1.4214.617.5-2.92
Troy Murphy6868-0.750.25-1.010.07-2813-4113.915.4-1.5514.417.0-2.64

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarrett Jack67680.79-0.291.07-0.0127-123914.616.5-1.9014.513.90.61
Chris Bosh76770.77-0.271.040.0425-103514.617.2-2.5614.414.30.09
Antoine Wright73740.74-0.240.98-0.0226-113714.616.8-2.1914.314.5-0.19
Sonny Weems64660.170.33-0.170.14114-1314.915.8-0.8714.913.31.55
Andrea Bargnani70710.100.40-0.300.10015-1514.915.9-1.0314.514.00.44
Amir Johnson40400.090.41-0.310.01312-917.213.83.4313.914.7-0.81
Jose Calderon55550.080.42-0.34-0.01312-916.014.21.8013.914.9-0.98
Rasho Nesterovic880.030.47-0.43-0.02213-1112.915.4-2.5215.514.31.24
Hedo Turkoglu22-0.010.51-0.51-0.01015-1523.015.07.9811.014.4-3.43
Marco Belinelli3029-0.260.76-1.030.09-1227-3916.514.61.9013.914.5-0.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 96, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,193.7%
GSW 104, IND 1160.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,193.2%
SEA 102, PHX 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,193.1%