NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	5.1 [789]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (SAC): +15.6%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	2.4 [501]		LVP	Ronnie Price (POR): -15.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	55%	0.11	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Joel Freeland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	21	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.05	14	54%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.02	7	94%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	11	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	18	61%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.06	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	24.4	16.4	27.4	2.4	27.3	123.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +72.4%

POR -16.3%

POR -13.5%

SAC +7.2%

SAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.4	102.1	113.7	104.1
season	15.8	15.0		104.3	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	17.1	15.3	18.6	16.3
SAC	13.5	12.9	12.9	18.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	11.5	16.6	-5.10	17.0	14.0	3.01
Victor Claver	43	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-19	26	14.8	17.5	-2.70	13.8	14.6	-0.77
Nicolas Batum	74	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-14	16	16.5	15.4	1.05	14.2	14.2	0.01
Damian Lillard	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-10	8	16.3	16.2	0.09	14.5	13.4	1.10
Luke Babbitt	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-4	-4	19.5	15.3	4.27	18.2	13.0	5.23
Will Barton	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-10	8	16.0	16.5	-0.58	14.5	14.0	0.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	16.6	14.8	1.80	13.8	15.8	-2.08
JJ Hickson	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.2	16.5	-0.31	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Meyers Leonard	29	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-6	0	15.7	16.6	-0.90	13.4	14.6	-1.23
Sasha Pavlovic	14	13	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	7	-26	17.1	16.1	1.02	12.7	14.5	-1.76
Ronnie Price	33	35	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	6	-24	16.3	16.3	-0.01	13.2	14.8	-1.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	46	44	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	-9	30	14.9	13.6	1.36	17.5	15.2	2.30
Thomas Robinson	38	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	3	6	15.5	13.4	2.11	17.0	15.8	1.22
Marcus Thornton	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-4	20	13.9	15.0	-1.14	16.6	15.4	1.19
Isaiah Thomas	39	38	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	15.5	13.3	2.25	17.0	15.8	1.17
Jimmer Fredette	34	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	3	6	15.2	13.6	1.60	16.4	16.2	0.17
Travis Outlaw	32	32	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	4	4	14.2	14.2	-0.03	16.1	16.4	-0.23
John Salmons	63	62	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	8	-4	14.2	14.2	0.03	16.4	16.1	0.23
Aaron Brooks	56	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	10	-8	13.3	15.5	-2.25	15.8	17.0	-1.17
Tyler Honeycutt	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	16.7	14.0	2.62	11.5	16.6	-5.10
Jason Thompson	44	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	16	-20	13.1	15.1	-2.00	15.4	17.1	-1.77
James Johnson	48	48	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	21	-30	12.9	15.5	-2.57	15.5	17.1	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, ATL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 67, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MEM 89, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%