NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	5.7 [682]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): +9.5%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.6 [1244]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -10.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sergio Rodriguez	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	8	61%	0.12	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	86%	0.16	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Timothe Luwawu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
TJ McConnell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	13	46%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.05	13	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	7	81%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	65%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.11	5	-0.13	3	0%	-0.04
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	26.1	14.7	27.4	2.7	29.1	126.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +23.4%

ATL +0.3%

ATL +12.5%

ATL +10.3%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	14.8	95.0	117.0	107.7
season	14.5	14.4		101.9	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		104.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	15.7	16.0	16.9	15.4
ATL	12.8	12.5	13.3	14.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.2	15.6	-2.41	17.7	12.9	4.74
Gerald Henderson	43	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-16	11	16.6	14.6	2.08	12.3	13.8	-1.51
Jahlil Okafor	46	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-21	21	16.0	14.9	1.08	14.0	12.5	1.48
Robert Covington	56	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-11	1	16.0	14.7	1.35	12.5	14.1	-1.61
Dario Saric	60	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-10	-1	16.4	14.0	2.50	11.6	15.4	-3.79
Sergio Rodriguez	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-7	-7	16.4	14.4	2.01	12.1	14.4	-2.32
TJ McConnell	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-14	7	14.4	16.4	-2.01	14.4	12.1	2.32
Richaun Holmes	45	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-6	-9	15.0	15.8	-0.87	13.2	13.2	-0.03
Nik Stauskas	51	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-8	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.33	13.4	13.0	0.32
Hollis Thompson	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-9	-3	14.1	16.6	-2.52	14.1	12.4	1.69
Ersan Ilyasova	51	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-5	-11	14.1	16.8	-2.62	14.3	12.0	2.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	39	39	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	6	9	13.5	13.0	0.41	14.6	16.0	-1.34
Malcolm Delaney	36	36	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	11	-1	13.9	12.8	1.10	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Paul Millsap	56	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.08	13	8	5	13.5	12.8	0.70	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Kris Humphries	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	7	7	14.4	12.5	1.94	15.5	15.4	0.12
Tim Hardaway Jr.	37	36	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.23	16	5	11	13.1	13.3	-0.25	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Kyle Korver	60	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	17	-13	13.3	13.1	0.23	15.6	15.2	0.31
Mike Muscala	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	14	-7	11.9	14.1	-2.26	15.8	15.2	0.64
Dwight Howard	60	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	15	-9	12.6	14.1	-1.44	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Dennis Schroder	58	59	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	12	-3	12.3	14.5	-2.14	16.1	14.5	1.52
Kent Bazemore	58	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	16	-11	12.6	14.1	-1.49	16.1	14.4	1.76
Ryan Kelly	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	17.7	12.9	4.74	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Taurean Prince	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	17.7	12.9	4.74	13.2	15.6	-2.41
DeAndre Bembry	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	17.7	12.9	4.74	13.2	15.6	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 87, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%