NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	73		Excitement	4.9 [836]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +10.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	1.0 [1212]		LVP	Donald Sloan (CLE): -11.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	19	64%	0.17	3	-0.07	18	78%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.00	5	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	25.4	15.4	24.5	2.4	27.7	121.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.4%

MIN +10.9%

MIN +2.8%

CLE -1.8%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.4	75.3	93.8	104.1
season	15.5	15.6		102.5	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		103.4	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	15.8	15.4	15.0	15.6
MIN	12.6	14.2	15.3	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Jones	15	15	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-21	24	20.2	14.8	5.43	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Samardo Samuels	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-17	16	13.7	16.0	-2.22	13.5	14.2	-0.65
Donald Sloan	61	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-15	12	16.4	14.3	2.03	14.3	13.8	0.53
Tyler Zeller	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-18	18	16.1	15.4	0.76	14.4	13.9	0.51
Omri Casspi	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-15	12	16.7	15.1	1.61	14.7	13.8	0.92
Luke Walton	14	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-13	8	15.7	15.6	0.12	14.2	14.1	0.14
CJ Miles	48	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-15	12	16.5	14.8	1.68	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Tristan Thompson	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-5	-8	15.9	15.3	0.59	14.3	13.9	0.37
Daniel Gibson	54	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-2	-14	14.8	16.6	-1.83	14.4	13.6	0.78
Alonzo Gee	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-4	-10	15.2	16.5	-1.33	13.7	14.8	-1.14
Jeremy Pargo	36	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-3	-12	14.3	16.4	-2.03	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Anderson Varejao	71	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	2	-22	14.6	18.4	-3.79	13.9	14.5	-0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.15	23	-5	28	14.0	14.2	-0.20	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Nikola Pekovic	49	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	3	12	14.4	13.7	0.70	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Kevin Love	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	0	18	13.7	15.1	-1.34	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Luke Ridnour	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	3	12	13.6	15.0	-1.37	15.1	16.7	-1.60
Alexey Shved	49	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	14	-10	13.7	14.5	-0.79	15.4	15.8	-0.48
Dante Cunningham	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	9	0	13.8	14.3	-0.49	15.5	15.7	-0.25
Jose Juan Barea	38	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	9	0	14.1	14.1	-0.05	16.9	14.8	2.11
Malcolm Lee	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	13	-8	15.2	13.3	1.86	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Josh Howard	37	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	20	-22	14.4	13.9	0.48	16.8	14.9	1.86
Greg Stiemsma	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	24	-30	14.8	13.8	1.04	16.6	15.3	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 88, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
NOH 83, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%