NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	4.8 [859]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +17.4%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.1 [1295]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -17.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	58%	0.09	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.03	15	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	28%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.00	15	71%	0.25	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	71%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	11	21%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	29.3	16.4	21.4	2.3	28.5	126.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.2%

MIN -1.7%

IND +15.6%

IND +1.6%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.4	97.8	116.3	104.1
season	15.6	16.1		101.3	102.4
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	13.2	16.7	18.1	15.6
IND	16.6	15.0	14.6	16.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	48	46	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-21	26	14.2	17.0	-2.81	16.3	14.9	1.39
Alexey Shved	52	54	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-25	34	14.7	16.7	-2.08	16.1	14.7	1.41
Chris Johnson	16	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-19	22	14.4	15.8	-1.44	18.8	14.8	4.00
Jose Juan Barea	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-10	4	14.3	17.3	-2.99	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Mickael Gelabale	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-1	-14	18.3	14.4	3.89	16.5	15.1	1.40
Luke Ridnour	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	2	-20	16.2	13.2	3.01	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Derrick Williams	54	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	1	-18	16.2	14.7	1.51	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Ricky Rubio	74	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	2	-20	15.5	16.0	-0.54	15.4	16.3	-0.93
Greg Stiemsma	68	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.06	-23	7	-30	16.3	13.6	2.75	14.5	18.6	-4.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.12	23	-7	30	14.9	17.3	-2.43	15.9	14.6	1.32
George Hill	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-5	26	15.0	17.2	-2.24	15.9	14.7	1.16
Lance Stephenson	53	55	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.18	24	-8	32	14.9	16.5	-1.60	17.2	13.3	3.90
David West	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-6	28	15.0	16.6	-1.58	16.3	14.2	2.20
Paul George	51	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	8	0	15.6	15.5	0.18	16.1	14.9	1.15
D.J. Augustin	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	15	-14	15.7	15.5	0.17	14.1	16.3	-2.26
Sam Young	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	19	-22	16.2	15.2	1.00	14.0	16.4	-2.35
Tyler Hansbrough	32	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	22	-28	16.6	15.0	1.58	14.2	16.3	-2.20
Orlando Johnson	42	41	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.7	14.6	2.11	14.6	16.3	-1.72
Ian Mahinmi	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	23	-30	17.3	14.9	2.43	14.6	15.9	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 73, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
POR 93, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 78, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%