inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 101 Excitement8.1 [232] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +21.2%
Washington Wizards 105 Comeback1.3 [192] LVPRay Allen (MIA): -17.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.210,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.130.090.011177%0.231-0.02475%0.01
Joel Anthony0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.003100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.011953%0.081-0.05786%0.00
LeBron James-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.06,0,0.05,-0.020.01-0.03-0.002451%0.073-0.10333%-0.08
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Terrel Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00430%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Mike Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.060.03-0.09-0.001055%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.0030%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Ray Allen-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.03-0.15-0.011246%-0.102-0.0800%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.180.180.030.15-0.001267%0.273-0.0900%0.00
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.160.160.080.090.011658%0.181-0.02683%0.02
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.02787%0.1300.002100%0.01
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00957%0.101-0.055100%0.04
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001100%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011145%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.00450%-0.002-0.07650%-0.01
Chris Singleton0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.00741%-0.061-0.02862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.425.616.324.62.536.2133.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +34.1%
WAS +16.2%
MIA -3.7%
WAS +1.0%
WAS +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game14.315.415.4103.1109.4104.1
season15.715.1110.298.8
opponent15.715.9101.2102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.215.515.112.614.3
WAS16.415.216.214.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem36330.03-0.530.550.05-1-3215.313.71.5815.215.5-0.28
Mario Chalmers21210.01-0.510.530.04-1-3214.114.3-0.2315.515.40.06
Joel Anthony1717-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-5615.114.10.9515.715.40.34
Terrel Harris2222-0.11-0.390.29-0.08-1-3215.014.10.9317.514.82.75
Rashard Lewis2728-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-51-614.114.3-0.2318.114.33.73
Mike Miller6261-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-5614.414.00.4414.117.7-3.51
Ray Allen7470-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.34-1-3214.414.00.3114.717.4-2.74
LeBron James8886-0.500.00-0.50-0.41-3-1-214.116.0-1.9215.415.9-0.53
Chris Bosh7473-0.510.01-0.51-0.39-40-413.915.4-1.4615.515.30.22
Dwyane Wade6969-0.580.08-0.67-0.41-62-813.915.3-1.4215.615.00.54

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Crawford64650.490.010.470.287-31014.717.0-2.3114.214.5-0.27
Chris Singleton70710.480.020.450.306-2816.013.82.1713.915.2-1.26
Shaun Livingston52530.370.130.240.3413-214.616.5-1.9014.314.3-0.02
Kevin Seraphin61640.360.140.220.3313-215.215.9-0.7215.012.82.22
Martell Webster64660.320.180.140.41-37-1014.816.6-1.7514.414.00.41
Trevor Ariza32320.180.32-0.14-0.027-31016.614.81.7514.014.4-0.41
A.J. Price44450.130.37-0.240.0431216.514.61.9014.314.30.02
Emeka Okafor25240.110.39-0.270.0331217.714.63.1013.914.4-0.53
Nene36370.050.45-0.400.11-26-813.116.8-3.6613.914.5-0.66
Bradley Beal32330.010.49-0.470.10-37-1017.014.72.3114.514.20.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 88, ORL 920.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,193.2%
MIN 105, SAC 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,193.1%
WAS 97, DAL 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.72,192.7%