NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	7.6 [337]		MVP	James Jones (IND): +12.2%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.5 [928]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -19.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	137%	0.26	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	15	56%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.07
Austin Croshere	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	7	37%	-0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	12	34%	-0.07	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	12	53%	-0.09	1	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	13	45%	-0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	0.00	7	64%	0.17	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	64%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	10	59%	-0.00	1	-0.07	9	56%	-0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	21	51%	0.05	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	32.1	17.4	25.9	2.0	37.3	142.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.3%

IND -4.2%

IND -4.0%

ORL +10.3%

IND -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.4	15.5	100.0	105.7	104.0
season	16.8	14.3		101.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.3	18.1	16.6	17.8	17.5
ORL	14.6	16.1	16.1	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	32	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	19.1	16.6	2.51	15.9	15.2	0.76
Jeff Foster	34	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-3	2	17.9	17.2	0.63	16.3	14.9	1.43
Fred Jones	75	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.42	9	-13	22	16.5	22.8	-6.31	15.5	14.7	0.80
Dale Davis	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	0	-4	17.6	17.2	0.37	15.5	15.4	0.07
James Jones	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	1	-6	18.6	16.4	2.14	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Eddie Gill	32	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	9	-22	17.9	17.2	0.74	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Reggie Miller	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-5	6	17.6	17.0	0.57	15.6	14.8	0.83
Jermaine O'Neal	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-4	4	16.9	18.4	-1.54	15.4	15.5	-0.18
Stephen Jackson	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	2	-8	16.7	18.7	-1.98	14.6	16.7	-2.13

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	59	59	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-5	14	14.8	16.9	-2.09	16.9	18.5	-1.57
Dwight Howard	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-2	8	15.5	15.3	0.15	17.4	17.7	-0.35
DeShawn Stevenson	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	15.4	15.5	-0.12	17.2	18.6	-1.42
Steve Francis	79	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	3	-2	15.3	16.6	-1.31	17.5	17.0	0.53
Jameer Nelson	61	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	4	-4	15.5	15.3	0.13	17.5	17.3	0.22
Stacey Augmon	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	2	0	16.1	14.8	1.32	17.0	17.9	-0.96
Andre Barrett	9	8	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-2	8	13.2	15.7	-2.47	21.4	17.1	4.30
Brandon Hunter	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	3	-2	16.3	15.2	1.07	19.1	17.1	1.95
Kelvin Cato	28	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.03	-8	12	-20	16.3	15.0	1.25	17.8	17.3	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	93.4%
MIA 101, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1	93.2%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	92.6%