NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	103		Excitement	4.4 [951]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +20.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	122		Comeback	1.3 [995]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -16.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.03	13	66%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.03	10	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jordan Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.01	0.05	9	117%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.22	0.03	0.08	19	82%	0.21	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.10	16	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.07
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	15	41%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	34.1	17.8	26.5	2.8	27.4	136.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.0%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +7.3%

LAL +5.9%

LAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAL	NBA	DEN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.3	15.4	107.3	128.4	104.1
season	14.4	14.9		108.4	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.5	15.3	16.3	16.2	15.8
LAL	13.9	14.0	13.0	16.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	20	20	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-26	33	15.2	16.0	-0.74	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Evan Fournier	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	10.7	16.1	-5.30	21.7	14.0	7.76
Jordan Hamilton	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-12	5	16.2	15.6	0.58	15.4	13.6	1.80
Andre Miller	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-13	7	16.5	15.1	1.39	14.5	14.1	0.47
Danilo Gallinari	64	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-17	15	15.1	17.2	-2.08	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Ty Lawson	74	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	15.7	16.4	-0.75	14.1	14.9	-0.79
JaVale McGee	35	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-9	-1	15.6	16.0	-0.41	14.6	14.1	0.49
Corey Brewer	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-5	-9	15.8	15.8	-0.01	15.3	13.5	1.80
Kenneth Faried	47	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	1	-21	16.2	15.5	0.74	13.9	14.7	-0.73
Andre Iguodala	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	16.0	15.4	0.65	13.6	16.0	-2.44
Timofey Mozgov	41	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-3	-13	16.3	15.5	0.89	14.2	14.4	-0.22

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	60	60	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.14	27	-8	35	14.2	14.6	-0.40	16.4	14.9	1.51
Antawn Jamison	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	0	19	14.5	13.9	0.62	16.5	14.5	2.02
Metta World Peace	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	0	19	14.3	14.6	-0.30	16.4	12.7	3.70
Kobe Bryant	75	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	10	-1	13.9	15.9	-2.07	15.5	17.1	-1.66
Dwight Howard	62	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	8	3	14.3	14.4	-0.07	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Jodie Meeks	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	12	-5	15.0	13.9	1.13	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Pau Gasol	57	57	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	16	-13	14.3	14.3	-0.04	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Jordan Hill	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	16	-13	12.4	14.5	-2.04	13.2	16.1	-2.82
Darius Morris	37	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	22	-25	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.6	16.7	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAC 114, DEN 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 86, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.7%