NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	4.2 [931]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +8.2%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	1.2 [1000]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -17.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawnelle Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	9	64%	-0.00	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Mitchell Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.19	-0.00	-0.09	20	26%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	13	44%	-0.05	4	-0.07	10	60%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	0.04	14	36%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	83%	0.12	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	5	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	7	37%	-0.03	3	-0.04	5	60%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.01	0.02	12	53%	-0.06	7	-0.11	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.9	2.5	25.5	17.4	29.2	2.4	34.5	148.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.0%

HOU +5.3%

CLE -6.0%

CLE -0.3%

HOU +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.6	88.7	95.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.7		99.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	16.0		105.7	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	15.3	15.5	13.8	15.2
HOU	13.8	16.0	13.3	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.1	0.21	14.8	14.0	0.81
Brevin Knight	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	14.1	16.3	-2.21	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Cedric Henderson	44	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	14.4	15.9	-1.48	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Bob Sura	79	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-11	14	15.3	14.7	0.58	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	74	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-5	2	15.2	15.3	-0.09	13.7	16.0	-2.25
Mitchell Butler	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-5	2	15.0	15.3	-0.29	14.9	13.9	0.96
Shawnelle Scott	26	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	15.4	15.1	0.31	15.6	13.8	1.76
Danny Ferry	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	16.2	13.4	2.79	14.8	13.6	1.12
Wesley Person	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	4	-16	15.4	14.6	0.79	13.8	15.8	-2.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-10	28	13.2	17.0	-3.72	15.6	14.1	1.48
Kevin Willis	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-7	22	13.7	15.5	-1.86	16.2	13.4	2.76
Matt Maloney	48	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-4	16	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.9	13.6	3.31
Mario Elie	54	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	3	2	14.5	14.2	0.30	16.3	13.9	2.48
Hakeem Olajuwon	73	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	11	-14	14.5	14.0	0.52	15.3	14.8	0.48
Charles Barkley	47	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	9	-10	15.1	13.6	1.54	13.8	16.5	-2.69
Brent Price	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	12	-16	14.7	14.0	0.68	13.6	16.9	-3.31
Matt Bullard	13	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	3	2	13.9	14.4	-0.49	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Rodrick Rhodes	43	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	10	-12	15.0	13.8	1.21	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Eddie Johnson	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	13	-18	15.7	13.8	1.90	14.2	15.6	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 83, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CLE 78, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%