NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	78		Excitement	2.2 [1281]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +9.3%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.0 [1090]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -8.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	69%	0.01	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	25%	-0.02	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.05	5	-0.07	9	78%	-0.00
Nolan Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	5	0%	-0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	11	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	8	40%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.00	-0.07	13	61%	0.11	4	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	74%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	63%	0.06	5	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	36.0	15.6	24.3	2.4	27.3	135.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.1%

BOS +4.8%

POR -1.3%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.4	84.8	101.1	104.1
season	15.8	14.9		104.3	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	19.7	15.8	13.2	15.9
BOS	15.0	14.6	16.9	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	26	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-16	14	13.2	17.0	-3.85	13.5	15.5	-1.99
Joel Freeland	27	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-16	14	12.7	17.2	-4.49	13.4	15.6	-2.15
Nolan Smith	36	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-12	6	13.9	17.2	-3.37	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Sasha Pavlovic	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-11	4	20.4	15.7	4.74	17.2	14.8	2.42
Jared Jeffries	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-10	2	17.2	15.9	1.40	19.5	14.7	4.80
Will Barton	34	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-13	8	14.0	17.0	-3.03	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Meyers Leonard	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-17	16	13.8	17.9	-4.09	15.2	14.6	0.61
JJ Hickson	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-1	-16	17.9	13.8	4.09	14.6	15.2	-0.61
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-10	2	17.2	13.3	3.91	15.3	14.1	1.18
Wesley Matthews	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-5	-8	17.0	14.0	3.03	15.2	14.4	0.85
Nicolas Batum	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-9	0	16.7	14.3	2.40	15.4	14.1	1.29
Damian Lillard	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-6	-6	17.2	13.9	3.37	15.1	14.6	0.49

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	-3	24	13.8	16.0	-2.18	16.9	14.8	2.09
Courtney Lee	76	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	0	18	15.0	14.6	0.41	14.9	19.6	-4.69
Paul Pierce	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-1	20	15.1	14.7	0.46	17.3	14.2	3.13
Jared Sullinger	63	60	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	7	4	14.9	15.0	-0.14	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Jeff Green	45	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	5	8	14.1	15.7	-1.59	17.1	14.9	2.18
Jason Terry	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	10	-2	15.4	14.1	1.35	17.1	13.9	3.13
Brandon Bass	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	11	-4	15.0	14.9	0.14	16.5	15.6	0.90
Leandro Barbosa	44	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	19	-20	14.7	15.1	-0.46	14.2	17.3	-3.13
Chris Wilcox	29	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	13.8	15.4	-1.60	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Jason Collins	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	25	-32	19.1	13.8	5.31	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Kris Joseph	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	15.0	14.9	0.11	11.7	16.5	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 98, SAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CLE 71, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%