NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	71		Excitement	2.1 [1290]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +5.7%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	1.0 [1151]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -8.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.11	4	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	58%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.19	-0.00	-0.10	17	32%	-0.05	5	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	16	32%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	72%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	14%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	29.5	25.0	28.2	3.4	27.5	139.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.9%

DET +2.2%

DET +3.1%

DET +2.1%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	18.2	15.4	87.7	103.7	105.7
season	16.4	16.8		104.0	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	19.9	16.7	14.9	17.1
DET	14.8	19.0	20.1	19.4	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Jones	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-24	34	11.3	18.3	-7.03	19.1	18.0	1.02
Joe Smith	25	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-21	28	13.5	18.7	-5.23	18.4	18.1	0.26
Wally Szczerbiak	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-15	16	17.9	16.6	1.32	20.1	17.0	3.06
Daniel Gibson	27	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	17.3	17.0	0.35	20.6	16.9	3.64
Sasha Pavlovic	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-11	8	15.8	18.2	-2.37	16.6	19.5	-2.88
Devin Brown	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-4	-6	19.2	15.7	3.45	19.3	17.5	1.77
Anderson Varejao	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-3	-8	19.0	15.2	3.80	19.8	16.8	3.01
Damon Jones	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-7	0	15.8	19.6	-3.89	17.3	20.0	-2.69
Ben Wallace	36	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	1	-16	17.1	17.1	-0.03	16.3	19.8	-3.57
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	5	-24	19.2	14.4	4.80	18.1	18.4	-0.32
LeBron James	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	5	-24	17.4	16.1	1.33	17.3	20.9	-3.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	60	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	-5	24	18.0	18.9	-0.86	17.5	15.8	1.74
Chauncey Billups	46	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	1	12	17.9	18.6	-0.68	17.0	17.2	-0.22
Richard Hamilton	55	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-3	20	17.4	20.0	-2.58	17.9	15.5	2.39
Antonio McDyess	39	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-1	16	18.4	18.0	0.39	17.5	16.7	0.81
Rasheed Wallace	46	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	2	10	17.1	19.7	-2.56	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Jason Maxiell	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	11	-8	19.6	17.2	2.39	17.8	16.6	1.22
Theo Ratliff	30	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	9	-4	17.8	18.5	-0.68	18.5	16.2	2.35
Arron Afflalo	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	17	-20	20.0	17.4	2.58	15.5	17.9	-2.39
Rodney Stuckey	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	13	-12	18.6	17.9	0.68	17.2	17.0	0.22
Jarvis Hayes	7	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	9	-4	18.4	18.2	0.22	24.9	16.4	8.49
Walter Herrmann	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	24	-34	19.1	18.0	1.02	11.3	18.3	-7.03
Amir Johnson	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	18.9	18.1	0.75	11.6	18.1	-6.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
POR 78, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CLE 75, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%