NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	80		Excitement	1.9 [1244]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +3.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1214]		LVP	Brevin Knight (ATL): -7.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.06	6	77%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	15	53%	-0.01	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	13	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	100%	0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	15	50%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	71%	0.06	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	18	48%	0.00	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	25.5	14.7	23.0	1.8	26.3	117.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.1%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +10.9%

ATL -0.9%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.5	87.0	105.4	100.9
season	15.4	15.7		96.0	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	19.4	13.8	14.1	16.0
PHI	11.6	16.6	15.0	17.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-29	40	13.9	17.3	-3.32	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Cal Bowdler	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-23	28	13.5	17.0	-3.45	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Dion Glover	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-14	10	15.4	16.7	-1.28	15.4	14.8	0.64
Hanno Mottola	51	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-16	14	14.0	18.6	-4.65	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Brevin Knight	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.11	-12	-6	-6	15.6	16.6	-1.03	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Matt Maloney	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-12	6	16.6	15.6	1.03	15.5	14.7	0.79
Dikembe Mutombo	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	3	-24	17.5	13.9	3.60	15.2	15.0	0.19
Roshown McLeod	41	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-13	8	17.6	14.7	2.89	17.3	13.2	4.17
Lorenzen Wright	53	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.41	-29	11	-40	18.1	13.3	4.77	15.7	14.3	1.47
Jason Terry	64	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.34	-27	9	-36	16.3	15.5	0.82	14.0	17.3	-3.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	73	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.44	32	-14	46	14.5	17.5	-3.05	16.5	14.2	2.25
Theo Ratliff	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	5	8	15.7	12.5	3.23	15.8	17.3	-1.55
Aaron McKie	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.34	23	-5	28	14.5	16.8	-2.33	16.1	15.9	0.16
Tyrone Hill	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	2	14	15.2	15.0	0.10	17.5	14.1	3.38
George Lynch	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	10	-2	16.7	12.6	4.08	16.0	16.1	-0.13
Todd MacCulloch	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	8	2	12.3	16.6	-4.35	16.2	15.9	0.29
Toni Kukoc	14	13	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	7	4	13.4	15.4	-2.06	19.2	15.5	3.63
Kevin Ollie	46	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	15	-12	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.0	17.0	-2.02
Rodney Buford	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.39	-13	31	-44	17.4	14.6	2.75	13.1	16.6	-3.52
Nazr Mohammed	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	11.0	15.6	-4.60	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Jumaine Jones	19	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.38	-13	31	-44	18.6	14.2	4.43	13.7	16.6	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CHI 82, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
POR 78, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%