inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 98 Excitement4.2 [988] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +15.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback1.6 [1171] LVPJames Harden (HOU): -14.4%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Patterson0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.150.000.051867%0.121-0.02475%0.00
Greg Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Daequan Cook0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.021750%0.063-0.05250%-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Machado0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Omer Asik-0.000,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.031352%0.021-0.03714%-0.03
Toney Douglas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.0740%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Terrence Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00839%-0.032-0.022100%0.01
Jeremy Lin-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.01737%-0.023-0.0720%-0.02
James Harden-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.010.031640%-0.093-0.051182%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.200.010.052269%0.203-0.041090%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.200.020.071388%0.1500.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.031457%0.101-0.022100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.03664%0.071-0.002100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01444%0.021-0.0110%-0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01657%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.130.000.001540%-0.035-0.10540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.332.415.527.31.729.3131.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +35.1%
OKC +9.9%
OKC +2.5%
OKC +3.8%
HOU -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game14.815.415.4103.2125.0104.1
season14.214.8107.9109.3
opponent15.515.4100.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.115.315.114.514.8
OKC16.614.115.515.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donatas Motiejunas660.00-0.500.500.09-3-191612.714.9-2.2313.015.6-2.56
Scott Machado660.00-0.500.500.09-3-191612.714.9-2.2313.015.6-2.56
Greg Smith87-0.17-0.330.160.09-9-13415.214.70.5413.915.5-1.66
Terrence Jones55-0.19-0.310.120.08-9-13418.214.63.6312.415.6-3.16
Toney Douglas2223-0.21-0.290.090.23-15-7-814.414.9-0.4515.115.5-0.41
Omer Asik5760-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-15814.714.8-0.1016.114.21.97
Daequan Cook7677-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-6-161014.515.7-1.1615.515.10.43
Patrick Patterson7575-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-15814.814.50.3315.614.70.93
Jeremy Lin8181-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-12-10-214.814.30.5515.614.31.26
James Harden7776-0.41-0.09-0.330.09-17-5-1215.113.51.5516.012.93.09
Marcus Morris6264-0.46-0.04-0.410.19-220-2214.714.8-0.1414.317.6-3.25

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison39390.51-0.010.52-0.142202214.016.3-2.3115.414.31.15
Kevin Martin55550.430.070.37-0.182112014.916.0-1.1015.214.21.01
Kevin Durant84830.430.070.36-0.041661015.712.92.8315.112.13.06
Thabo Sefolosha67650.290.210.090.06814-615.814.41.4113.916.6-2.64
Russell Westbrook72720.250.250.010.05715-815.814.21.5814.615.4-0.84
Hasheem Thabeet18180.250.25-0.01-0.19157813.015.9-2.9514.614.8-0.18
Eric Maynor26250.240.26-0.02-0.17148614.015.9-1.8615.414.50.82
Serge Ibaka57560.110.39-0.28-0.01418-1416.314.02.3115.114.30.85
Jeremy Lamb660.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1613.015.6-2.5612.714.9-2.23
Reggie Jackson660.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1613.015.6-2.5612.714.9-2.23
Perry Jones660.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1613.015.6-2.5612.714.9-2.23
Kendrick Perkins4444-0.010.51-0.520.17-628-3416.814.22.5414.614.9-0.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 86, PHX 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
PHI 93, NYK 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,196.1%
NJN 99, CHA 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.0%