NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	4.1 [1017]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +16.4%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.5 [1205]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NYK): -6.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	18	49%	0.03	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	24	58%	0.05	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	11	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.02	10	85%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.04	15	47%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	18	54%	0.11	5	-0.08	18	89%	0.03
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	7	19%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	29.7	17.5	29.5	2.7	34.3	142.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.7%

NYK +1.6%

NYK +4.1%

NYK +4.3%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.4	102.2	106.5	104.1
season	15.5	16.2		100.5	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	17.3	16.1	15.5	15.4
NYK	14.6	16.2	15.9	17.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	36	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-5	4	14.2	16.2	-1.96	14.2	17.1	-2.93
Thaddeus Young	64	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.46	11	-17	28	15.5	15.2	0.26	17.4	12.3	5.07
Lavoy Allen	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-2	-2	15.6	15.2	0.39	16.3	15.5	0.80
Damien Wilkins	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	4	-14	14.5	15.6	-1.08	13.5	16.4	-2.96
Jrue Holiday	83	84	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.51	9	-15	24	14.9	20.5	-5.58	16.2	12.9	3.33
Evan Turner	80	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-6	6	14.1	24.6	-10.50	16.0	15.3	0.70
Jeremy Pargo	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	16.6	13.5	3.11	16.7	14.7	2.02
Spencer Hawes	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	1	-8	15.4	15.4	0.06	15.6	16.4	-0.86
Dorell Wright	24	25	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.13	-23	17	-40	20.3	13.7	6.63	13.2	16.9	-3.74

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	66	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-7	20	16.3	14.9	1.36	16.3	13.2	3.05
Steve Novak	36	33	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-14	34	15.7	16.0	-0.32	17.6	14.1	3.50
J.R. Smith	69	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	16.2	15.0	1.20	15.6	15.0	0.56
Pablo Prigioni	22	23	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-7	20	14.6	16.3	-1.65	20.4	13.7	6.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-5	16	14.7	16.8	-2.16	16.3	14.6	1.72
Raymond Felton	72	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	15	-24	16.2	14.8	1.46	13.8	20.3	-6.48
Jason Kidd	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	15	-24	16.5	15.1	1.42	13.8	17.6	-3.82
Carmelo Anthony	80	77	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.50	-14	20	-34	16.2	14.1	2.11	14.3	21.5	-7.20
Iman Shumpert	27	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	14.3	16.5	-2.25	14.9	15.7	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DEN 93, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 106, CHA 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	95.0%