NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	4.9 [864]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHX): +13.8%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.1 [295]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -13.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	14	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	15	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Goodwin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monte Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.05	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	34%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Jamal Murray	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	17	32%	-0.07	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.01	-0.03	17	65%	0.20	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	18	52%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	18	39%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	7	12%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	30.0	14.4	24.8	1.8	33.4	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.3%

PHX +5.9%

DEN -0.5%

PHX +16.8%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	14.3	93.9	102.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.4		112.0	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.6		114.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.4	13.8	13.5	13.5	13.6
PHX	12.8	15.0	16.5	17.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Goodwin	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-7	5	2.0	13.7	-11.69	21.0	15.3	5.70
Paul Millsap	65	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.35	10	-19	29	13.2	14.2	-0.96	15.6	14.9	0.63
Nikola Jokic	68	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-17	25	13.7	13.4	0.32	15.6	14.9	0.71
Torrey Craig	51	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	13.7	13.5	0.23	14.5	16.4	-1.97
Jamal Murray	68	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.29	3	-12	15	13.4	13.9	-0.43	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Malik Beasley	82	83	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-11	13	13.7	13.0	0.70	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Juancho Hernangomez	31	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	6	-21	13.6	13.6	0.01	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Will Barton	34	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	7	-23	13.9	13.4	0.51	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Mason Plumlee	35	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	11	-31	13.9	13.4	0.57	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Monte Morris	60	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	3	-15	13.5	13.7	-0.19	16.5	13.8	2.63

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elie Okobo	35	34	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-6	21	14.3	15.9	-1.56	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	16.2	13.9	2.28	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Deandre Ayton	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	14.6	16.7	-2.13	13.9	13.0	0.96
Quincy Acy	18	20	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-5	19	13.6	15.8	-2.20	13.0	13.7	-0.66
Troy Daniels	33	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	1	7	14.5	15.8	-1.22	13.4	13.7	-0.27
Mikal Bridges	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	14.5	16.2	-1.64	14.2	13.0	1.24
T.J. Warren	72	71	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	16.0	13.8	2.14	13.9	12.8	1.10
Richaun Holmes	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	10	-11	16.7	14.6	2.13	13.0	13.9	-0.96
Josh Jackson	65	63	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	15	-21	15.4	15.3	0.16	13.5	13.7	-0.19
De'Anthony Melton	65	65	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	15	-21	15.9	14.3	1.56	13.6	13.6	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, CHH 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 89, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%