NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	3.6 [1061]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +12.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	115		Comeback	1.2 [806]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -8.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	12	67%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	12	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	0.00	0.05	15	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	18	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	8	81%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	9	89%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	13	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.07	5	-0.10	11	64%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	26.6	15.7	28.1	2.7	35.4	140.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +51.7%

NJN -0.0%

CHA +3.2%

NJN -8.2%

CHA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	15.4	101.0	118.6	105.7
season	15.4	15.8		101.8	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		107.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.4	15.8	14.1	12.8	13.7
CHA	14.8	16.2	15.9	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	3	3	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-18	20	8.0	13.9	-5.89	17.3	15.8	1.55
Marcus Williams	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-15	14	8.4	14.1	-5.69	15.6	15.9	-0.28
Sean Williams	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-10	4	13.8	13.6	0.18	16.1	15.6	0.55
Josh Boone	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-15	14	13.7	13.7	0.00	16.5	15.0	1.51
Bostjan Nachbar	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-15	14	13.3	14.2	-0.90	15.9	15.7	0.22
Jason Kidd	78	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-15	14	13.3	15.4	-2.18	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Malik Allen	8	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-8	0	18.4	13.3	5.07	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Jason Collins	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-1	-14	13.9	13.6	0.29	14.6	16.6	-2.01
Richard Jefferson	78	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-2	-12	13.8	13.3	0.52	16.4	14.0	2.31
Darrell Armstrong	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	14.2	13.1	1.11	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Vince Carter	75	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.13	-22	6	-28	14.1	12.5	1.56	15.5	17.1	-1.67

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-4	24	15.1	16.9	-1.80	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Jason Richardson	92	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	3	10	15.9	15.4	0.46	13.5	17.8	-4.31
Nazr Mohammed	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-1	18	14.5	17.0	-2.51	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Raymond Felton	90	89	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	6	4	16.0	14.0	1.98	13.4	17.0	-3.62
Jeff McInnis	47	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	8	0	16.6	15.1	1.43	14.9	12.5	2.38
Gerald Wallace	74	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	10	-4	15.9	15.6	0.35	13.7	13.7	0.01
Emeka Okafor	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	14	-12	16.9	14.4	2.48	14.1	13.1	0.95
Ryan Hollins	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	11	-6	14.2	16.1	-1.93	14.9	13.5	1.46
Jared Dudley	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	18.2	15.7	2.49	9.2	14.0	-4.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 90, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHX 109, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%