NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	4.2 [993]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +10.1%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	1.3 [1097]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -8.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.18	-0.00	0.07	28	80%	0.28	9	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	18	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	-0.00	4	-0.08	11	82%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.03	16	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	21	60%	0.12	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	90%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	15	68%	0.08	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	33.3	19.7	31.2	3.8	31.3	148.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.4%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +6.0%

DAL +2.5%

DAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	16.6	15.5	113.5	125.3	104.0
season	13.5	14.9		112.9	108.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	14.4	11.9	14.1	13.6
DAL	15.0	15.0	15.3	21.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-9	8	17.6	13.4	4.20	17.2	16.5	0.72
Quentin Richardson	67	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-15	20	12.7	15.7	-3.02	17.3	14.8	2.51
Walter McCarty	12	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	14.4	13.5	0.92	15.6	16.7	-1.07
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	4	-18	15.6	11.9	3.70	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	13.5	14.4	-0.85	16.7	15.4	1.23
Steve Nash	87	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	13.5	14.9	-1.41	16.6	16.1	0.51
Shawn Marion	91	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	-1	-8	13.4	17.6	-4.20	16.5	17.2	-0.72
Jim Jackson	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	0	-10	13.4	15.7	-2.33	16.6	16.0	0.61

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-7	24	16.9	15.9	0.94	14.8	11.5	3.27
Josh Howard	76	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	16.9	15.1	1.88	13.6	13.8	-0.27
Dirk Nowitzki	87	88	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	3	4	16.7	15.0	1.70	13.6	13.5	0.13
Jerry Stackhouse	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	7	-4	17.3	14.7	2.61	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Jason Terry	72	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	9	-8	17.0	15.2	1.77	13.3	14.7	-1.48
Michael Finley	65	66	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	15.6	18.7	-3.13	12.9	15.2	-2.35
Darrell Armstrong	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	3	4	14.4	17.4	-2.99	14.2	13.4	0.85
Marquis Daniels	19	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	8	-6	15.4	16.9	-1.49	14.0	13.5	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 90, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 99, CHA 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%