NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Excitement	5.8 [630]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +18.9%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	2.2 [330]		LVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): -20.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	6	77%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	21	57%	0.18	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0	0.08	-0.05	0.04	20	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	11	65%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	16	69%	0.30	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	8	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	11	63%	0.18	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	11	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	12	25%	-0.14	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	25.8	15.5	28.6	1.0	42.0	137.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.4%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +16.1%

BOS +3.9%

OKC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BOS	NBA	OKC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	15.4	102.0	111.3	104.1
season	14.8	14.9		109.3	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.1	16.3	14.7	11.6	14.3
BOS	17.0	13.7	14.7	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	61	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-14	20	13.9	15.1	-1.28	16.0	14.0	1.94
Russell Westbrook	78	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-15	22	13.5	17.4	-3.91	15.7	13.6	2.09
Kevin Durant	75	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-12	16	14.5	13.7	0.84	15.7	13.6	2.09
Serge Ibaka	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-7	6	14.1	14.8	-0.65	15.6	14.2	1.39
Nick Collison	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	15.1	13.9	1.22	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Eric Maynor	24	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	3	-14	15.5	13.9	1.60	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Hasheem Thabeet	14	14	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	7	-22	16.0	14.1	1.94	11.4	15.9	-4.50
Kevin Martin	65	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	7	-22	14.4	14.2	0.19	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Thabo Sefolosha	68	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	1	-10	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.8	16.2	-1.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	68	67	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.21	18	-10	28	13.7	18.6	-4.87	14.7	13.6	1.11
Leandro Barbosa	23	22	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-9	26	12.9	15.9	-3.01	16.1	13.8	2.26
Jared Sullinger	28	28	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-7	22	14.4	15.5	-1.14	15.7	13.8	1.93
Jeff Green	53	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	5	-2	14.5	16.0	-1.45	13.6	15.2	-1.54
Courtney Lee	39	38	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	0	8	14.9	15.4	-0.43	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Paul Pierce	61	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	15.6	14.5	1.12	15.0	13.2	1.85
Jason Terry	60	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	8	-8	15.3	15.1	0.20	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Rajon Rondo	74	76	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.29	-9	17	-26	15.9	12.9	3.01	13.8	16.1	-2.26
Brandon Bass	52	53	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	17	-26	16.4	13.8	2.58	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Chris Wilcox	27	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	12	-16	18.0	14.1	3.82	13.6	14.7	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAS 72, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	94.4%
DET 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.3%