NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	5.7 [538]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +30.8%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.4 [711]		LVP	Caron Butler (LAC): -8.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.18	0.09	0.06	14	69%	0.21	1	-0.01	14	50%	-0.07
Randy Foye	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	23	53%	0.12	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.14,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.18	-0.02	13	70%	0.35	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	70%	0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.8	28.4	19.8	28.2	3.6	43.0	152.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +17.5%

NYK +9.2%

NYK +8.7%

NYK +12.4%

NYK +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	17.2	15.6	109.4	116.5	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		106.0	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	16.5	18.2	15.4	16.7
NYK	15.4	18.7	16.9	18.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	50	49	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.30	13	-19	32	15.2	18.8	-3.62	17.6	16.7	0.80
Caron Butler	58	58	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.41	15	-21	36	16.5	17.0	-0.43	17.4	16.9	0.53
Reggie Evans	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-1	-4	15.0	16.8	-1.80	22.2	16.8	5.33
Blake Griffin	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-11	16	16.5	17.7	-1.21	16.7	20.9	-4.25
DeAndre Jordan	52	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	3	-12	18.0	14.6	3.42	16.7	18.0	-1.34
Kenyon Martin	38	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.4	17.7	-2.26	18.2	16.4	1.82
Randy Foye	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-7	8	17.0	14.4	2.65	17.1	18.6	-1.50
Nick Young	27	27	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	15	-36	17.0	16.5	0.43	16.9	17.4	-0.53
Mo Williams	46	45	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.09	-26	20	-46	17.7	15.4	2.33	17.1	17.3	-0.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	48	47	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-8	22	16.9	17.6	-0.73	16.1	17.3	-1.21
J.R. Smith	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-7	20	17.0	17.5	-0.50	16.3	17.4	-1.13
Mike Bibby	36	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-5	16	17.7	16.8	0.93	16.5	16.8	-0.37
Landry Fields	40	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	4	-2	18.5	16.1	2.43	15.5	17.7	-2.23
Tyson Chandler	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	16.6	18.5	-1.92	16.8	16.4	0.47
Iman Shumpert	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	7	-8	16.3	18.3	-2.01	16.8	16.5	0.35
Dan Gadzuric	14	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	8	-10	18.4	17.0	1.37	15.0	17.0	-1.97
Carmelo Anthony	49	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	6	-6	16.6	18.0	-1.37	17.6	15.3	2.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	51	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	5	-4	17.7	16.5	1.28	17.6	15.3	2.29
Baron Davis	31	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	15	-24	17.8	16.9	0.94	17.1	16.4	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
MIL 84, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 107, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.1%