NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	5.4 [746]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): +18.2%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.4 [711]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -15.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.03	0.07	14	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.07	17	65%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	15	53%	0.18	0	0.00	15	87%	0.04
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	85%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	39%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	19	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Devyn Marble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.04	12	48%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.0	28.1	15.8	24.1	1.7	40.0	137.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +22.3%

ORL +15.8%

ORL +0.5%

ORL +8.8%

ORL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	14.9	100.0	109.9	105.1
season	15.6	14.6		103.5	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.2	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.9	14.8	20.8	14.0	16.4
ORL	15.9	14.6	15.2	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	43	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	17.2	15.7	1.54	16.2	14.4	1.74
Lou Amundson	8	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-9	9	12.7	16.7	-4.00	17.3	15.0	2.31
Carmelo Anthony	66	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-13	17	16.5	16.1	0.38	15.6	14.3	1.31
Arron Afflalo	58	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-11	13	16.0	17.1	-1.04	16.2	13.4	2.83
Jose Calderon	67	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-9	9	15.7	18.4	-2.69	15.9	13.3	2.61
Jerian Grant	12	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-2	-5	17.2	16.3	0.98	13.0	15.5	-2.53
Kristaps Porzingis	70	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-7	5	15.7	18.8	-3.14	15.8	13.6	2.19
Sasha Vujacic	27	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	16.6	16.3	0.33	13.9	15.8	-1.92
Kevin Seraphin	16	15	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	4	-17	19.6	15.7	3.84	11.3	16.0	-4.77
Lance Thomas	36	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	16.0	16.7	-0.70	14.4	15.9	-1.47
Langston Galloway	29	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	1	-11	16.4	16.4	-0.02	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Kyle O'Quinn	23	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	3	-15	18.8	15.6	3.25	12.7	16.1	-3.39

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	49	50	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-5	19	14.4	16.2	-1.74	17.3	15.3	2.01
Andrew Nicholson	46	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	0	9	14.2	16.3	-2.09	17.1	15.7	1.38
Jason Smith	31	31	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-1	11	13.9	15.9	-2.00	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Shabazz Napier	24	24	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	1	7	12.9	16.1	-3.17	18.2	15.7	2.46
Tobias Harris	64	64	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	2	5	15.7	14.1	1.62	16.0	17.3	-1.33
Aaron Gordon	33	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	5	-1	15.0	15.4	-0.44	16.5	16.4	0.11
Elfrid Payton	67	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	8	-7	16.1	12.9	3.17	15.7	18.2	-2.46
Nikola Vucevic	59	59	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	8	-7	15.9	14.0	1.88	16.7	15.9	0.75
Devyn Marble	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	17.0	15.2	1.77	11.0	16.5	-5.46
Mario Hezonja	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	17.0	15.2	1.77	11.0	16.5	-5.46
Channing Frye	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	11	-13	15.9	14.7	1.17	16.2	16.6	-0.38
Evan Fournier	41	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	16.2	14.5	1.67	15.4	17.2	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 89, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 93, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.84,1	94.8%