NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	4.2 [995]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +13.3%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.5 [700]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -9.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.02	-0.06	18	59%	0.18	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	11	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	7%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	12	69%	0.13	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	17	58%	0.10	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	70%	0.17	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.04
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.04	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.08
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.09	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	24.2	15.7	28.2	2.5	30.2	127.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.9%

CHI +18.8%

CHI +15.8%

BOS -1.0%

BOS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	17.8	15.4	103.5	116.3	104.1
season	14.9	16.6		101.2	101.7
opponent	15.2	16.2		102.3	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	18.1	15.7	13.4	15.7
CHI	16.8	17.9	18.6	17.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	22	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	16.2	15.6	0.60	18.2	17.6	0.63
Brandon Bass	48	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-10	9	17.0	14.2	2.82	17.9	17.6	0.24
Courtney Lee	43	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-14	17	15.4	16.0	-0.63	18.0	17.5	0.56
Rajon Rondo	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-2	-7	16.1	15.0	1.12	17.5	18.4	-0.96
Leandro Barbosa	23	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-14	17	13.7	16.5	-2.78	18.5	17.5	1.02
Jason Collins	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-12	13	14.8	16.0	-1.23	17.9	17.7	0.21
Paul Pierce	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	2	-15	16.4	14.5	1.91	17.8	17.6	0.22
Kevin Garnett	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	2	-15	16.3	15.1	1.26	17.6	17.9	-0.32
Jared Sullinger	28	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-8	5	14.2	16.4	-2.20	18.0	17.6	0.37
Jeff Green	39	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-8	5	14.9	16.4	-1.43	17.2	18.2	-0.99
Jason Terry	47	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	7	-25	15.7	15.8	-0.16	17.5	18.1	-0.67

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-9	29	18.3	16.2	2.12	16.6	13.1	3.49
Taj Gibson	48	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.07	20	-9	29	16.5	19.4	-2.89	15.9	15.5	0.40
Luol Deng	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-1	13	17.3	19.7	-2.45	16.1	14.2	1.87
Jimmy Butler	33	35	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	9	-7	18.4	17.4	1.04	15.8	15.7	0.07
Marco Belinelli	63	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	6	-1	17.8	17.7	0.14	15.1	17.4	-2.28
Kirk Hinrich	19	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	7	-3	19.4	17.3	2.07	16.4	15.5	0.87
Nate Robinson	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	1	9	17.3	18.2	-0.85	16.4	15.2	1.19
Marquis Teague	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	16	-21	19.4	17.5	1.84	13.2	16.1	-2.98
Nazr Mohammed	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	19	-27	19.6	17.6	1.96	7.0	16.3	-9.27
Carlos Boozer	55	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	21	-31	18.1	17.2	0.88	15.4	16.4	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
MIL 84, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 85, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%