inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 97 Excitement3.7 [851] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +13.4%
San Antonio Spurs 121 Comeback1.3 [815] LVPRamon Sessions (LAL): -8.4%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.070,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.000.031264%0.111-0.04475%-0.00
Matt Barnes0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.021156%0.091-0.023100%0.01
Troy Murphy0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Bynum0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.02965%0.073-0.06887%0.02
Jordan Hill0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02183%0.0010.00475%0.00
Darius Morris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Goudelock0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Devin Ebanks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02462%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01945%0.021-0.03475%0.01
Steve Blake-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.03475%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.020.011046%0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00926%-0.061-0.031100%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.01-0.01987%0.154-0.025100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.011568%0.152-0.041100%0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.02480%0.081-0.002100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01753%0.0300.001100%0.01
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.03875%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.04487%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.02-0.011461%0.144-0.13580%0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01460%0.0010.002100%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01367%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01350%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.93.535.319.526.53.528.4140.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +40.1%
SAS +1.0%
SAS +0.9%
SAS +8.1%
LAL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game16.914.615.6106.6131.5102.8
season16.215.3103.8109.1
opponent15.215.1101.5103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL18.316.918.114.716.9
SAS15.315.113.214.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Barnes48480.17-0.670.840.054-283216.517.4-0.9215.114.01.15
Josh McRoberts34350.12-0.620.750.120-242416.117.4-1.3015.514.01.55
Darius Morris550.00-0.500.500.09-3-211812.417.2-4.8015.014.50.47
Andrew Goudelock550.00-0.500.500.09-3-211812.417.2-4.8015.014.50.47
Devin Ebanks1717-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-242414.217.6-3.3215.714.31.41
Jordan Hill1516-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-211814.517.4-2.9515.514.41.14
Steve Blake3938-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-222017.616.51.1014.814.40.36
Troy Murphy1919-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-16817.816.71.1514.414.6-0.23
Pau Gasol5757-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-11-217.316.40.9314.414.9-0.53
Ramon Sessions4649-0.41-0.09-0.330.14-19-5-1417.316.60.6614.314.8-0.44
Metta World Peace5759-0.46-0.04-0.410.22-23-1-2217.416.11.3014.115.4-1.31
Kobe Bryant5757-0.620.12-0.750.08-240-2417.416.11.3014.015.5-1.55
Andrew Bynum5655-0.700.20-0.910.06-262-2817.715.72.0814.215.1-0.93

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan49500.76-0.261.01-0.0126-22813.615.7-2.1518.015.62.41
Tony Parker52530.59-0.090.69-0.112402413.515.9-2.3417.915.62.24
Danny Green50500.470.030.45-0.112041614.714.40.3617.016.90.06
Boris Diaw49480.440.060.39-0.111951414.115.1-0.9716.617.3-0.74
Kawhi Leonard34350.440.060.380.061311214.514.6-0.0918.615.92.71
Manu Ginobili50480.240.26-0.01-0.20159613.615.7-2.0916.617.3-0.65
DeJuan Blair15140.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2015.114.50.6114.117.5-3.38
Patty Mills550.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1815.014.50.4712.417.2-4.80
James Anderson550.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1815.014.50.4712.417.2-4.80
Stephen Jackson4241-0.050.55-0.600.01-226-2815.813.52.2216.517.3-0.77
Tiago Splitter3636-0.060.56-0.62-0.12222-2016.313.42.8817.116.80.34
Matt Bonner3534-0.140.64-0.78-0.11-125-2614.614.50.0316.817.0-0.22
Gary Neal3836-0.200.70-0.89-0.08-428-3215.613.81.7516.117.5-1.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 87, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%
SAS 101, MIA 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
VAN 83, UTA 1010.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%