NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	83		Excitement	4.1 [963]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +9.0%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.3 [1173]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -13.5%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	63%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	7	14%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	15	56%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	19	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	81%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	63%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	0.04	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	28.5	15.8	23.5	2.5	25.3	121.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.7%

UTA +3.2%

UTA +13.3%

VAN -0.9%

VAN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	UTA	NBA	VAN	UTA	NBA
this game	17.2	16.5	15.5	97.6	117.4	100.9
season	15.6	16.0		97.4	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.7	17.7	16.9	17.4	17.2
UTA	16.0	13.6	19.1	17.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	10	9	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-21	24	20.1	16.8	3.30	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Stromile Swift	31	34	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-17	16	18.7	16.3	2.34	15.9	16.9	-1.07
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-10	2	17.3	17.1	0.21	16.5	16.5	0.06
Bryant Reeves	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-12	6	18.0	16.7	1.25	17.3	16.0	1.24
Damon Jones	19	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	17.0	17.2	-0.24	18.0	16.0	2.08
Tony Massenburg	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	16.4	18.2	-1.87	15.7	17.6	-1.97
Michael Dickerson	69	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	17.8	14.4	3.47	16.1	18.0	-1.87
Mike Bibby	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-9	0	16.9	18.1	-1.23	16.8	15.7	1.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	-1	-16	16.5	19.9	-3.43	16.7	15.9	0.72
Grant Long	60	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	4	-26	16.6	18.7	-2.11	16.6	16.2	0.50

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	61	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-2	22	16.5	16.4	0.14	16.6	18.5	-1.83
Karl Malone	55	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.02	21	-3	24	16.5	16.5	0.03	16.9	17.7	-0.77
Olden Polynice	42	42	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	2	14	17.5	15.6	1.91	16.8	17.6	-0.75
Donyell Marshall	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	6	6	16.5	16.6	-0.14	17.3	16.8	0.52
John Stockton	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	6	6	15.3	17.9	-2.59	17.4	16.9	0.49
Jacque Vaughn	38	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	12	-6	18.1	15.2	2.92	17.2	17.1	0.11
Bryon Russell	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	8	2	17.4	15.9	1.48	17.4	17.1	0.30
Scott Padgett	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	14.8	16.6	-1.79	12.8	17.5	-4.66
DeShawn Stevenson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	15.3	16.5	-1.21	12.5	17.3	-4.80
Greg Ostertag	33	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	20	-22	15.1	17.4	-2.34	17.9	16.7	1.18
Danny Manning	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	21	-24	16.8	16.3	0.50	18.8	16.4	2.33
John Crotty	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	24	-30	14.9	16.9	-2.02	17.3	17.2	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ORL 92, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 95, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%