NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	6.9 [341]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): +26.1%
New Orleans Hornets	91		Comeback	10.6 [132]		LVP	Jason Smith (NOH): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	-0.00	7	57%	0.26	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	6	62%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.13	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	21	49%	0.07	2	-0.09	9	56%	-0.04
Josh McRoberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	17	45%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Devin Ebanks	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	15	62%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	12	71%	0.21	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.05	0.01	13	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Gustavo Ayon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.09	0.04	13	57%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	11	36%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	27.8	16.0	24.2	2.5	35.2	133.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.3%

LAL +4.7%

LAL +23.6%

NOH -17.6%

LAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.6	109.4	105.8	102.8
season	16.2	16.3		103.8	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	17.7	18.0	15.5	16.8
NOH	15.3	15.8	18.0	18.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	66	67	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-9	20	17.2	15.3	1.96	17.0	16.4	0.61
Steve Blake	53	54	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-3	8	15.7	18.6	-2.90	17.5	15.9	1.53
Andrew Bynum	63	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.53	0	2	-2	16.4	17.9	-1.51	16.2	19.0	-2.85
Metta World Peace	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-1	4	17.8	15.0	2.82	16.9	16.9	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	59	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	3	-4	16.2	18.1	-1.91	15.9	19.4	-3.47
Matt Barnes	43	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-3	8	15.8	17.8	-1.97	19.1	14.9	4.21
Josh McRoberts	22	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	17.9	16.4	1.51	19.0	16.2	2.85
Devin Ebanks	45	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	8	-14	18.6	14.8	3.76	15.6	18.4	-2.77
Troy Murphy	19	19	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.03	-9	11	-20	15.3	17.2	-1.96	16.4	17.0	-0.61

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	51	53	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-5	8	18.5	14.5	4.02	16.2	17.8	-1.69
Gustavo Ayon	13	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-5	8	19.5	16.4	3.11	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Xavier Henry	39	39	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	1	-4	19.2	15.0	4.13	16.1	17.4	-1.36
Lance Thomas	21	19	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	21.0	15.6	5.43	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Chris Kaman	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	15.0	19.9	-4.89	17.5	15.8	1.71
Marco Belinelli	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.53	3	-5	8	16.6	17.8	-1.22	17.0	16.1	0.95
Al-Farouq Aminu	65	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	15.6	21.0	-5.43	17.1	15.7	1.42
Greivis Vasquez	66	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	2	-6	15.8	20.4	-4.57	17.0	16.0	0.97
Jason Smith	56	55	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.51	-14	12	-26	16.6	17.5	-0.88	16.9	16.6	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.81,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 104, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.04,0	92.9%
LAC 96, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.28,0	92.0%
LAC 89, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0	91.5%