NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	7.5 [323]		MVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): +1.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Comeback	16.1 [6]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -30.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.03
Brian Skinner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	16	51%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.02	21	43%	0.02	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Eric Murdock	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	10	55%	0.09	3	-0.17	9	78%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	13	41%	-0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	13	36%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.00	10	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	22%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.07	-0.23	0.00	23	46%	-0.08	3	-0.22	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	32.1	14.7	21.2	2.5	39.2	133.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.2%

LAC +26.8%

MIN -10.7%

LAC +4.4%

MIN -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	15.2	92.7	90.4	101.7
season	15.6	15.1		95.5	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.3		101.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	15.6	18.5	15.2	16.1
MIN	15.6	13.7	12.0	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	86	86	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-7	18	16.2	15.8	0.35	14.4	12.0	2.38
Eric Murdock	57	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-2	8	15.6	16.9	-1.32	14.1	14.3	-0.16
Michael Olowokandi	85	86	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-2	8	16.2	15.5	0.75	14.0	16.4	-2.40
Brian Skinner	84	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	16.5	13.3	3.18	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Lamar Odom	96	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.1	0.0	16.11	14.2	0.0	14.18
Anthony Avent	13	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	3	-2	13.8	16.5	-2.71	16.0	13.9	2.09
Troy Hudson	59	57	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.07	-12	16	-28	16.4	15.6	0.76	13.9	14.6	-0.73

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	40	38	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-10	16	15.0	13.5	1.51	15.1	16.8	-1.76
Sam Mitchell	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-6	8	13.2	14.3	-1.13	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Bobby Jackson	26	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-2	0	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.8	16.7	-1.96
Malik Sealy	33	37	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.13	-3	-1	-2	14.6	14.0	0.61	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Rasho Nesterovic	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-2	0	13.0	14.9	-1.87	17.1	15.4	1.68
Kevin Garnett	86	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	14.4	11.9	2.52	16.5	12.1	4.35
Wally Szczerbiak	67	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-2	0	14.1	14.4	-0.27	16.5	15.2	1.32
Anthony Peeler	61	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.51	-1	-3	2	14.0	14.6	-0.61	16.4	15.6	0.80
Terrell Brandon	68	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-2	0	13.9	14.9	-1.03	16.7	14.8	1.96
Joe Smith	42	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	9	-22	14.3	14.1	0.19	15.0	17.1	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.28,0	93.7%
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	93.5%
MIL 91, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.95,0.79,0.55,0.08,0	91.8%