NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	5.1 [643]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (PHX): +17.1%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	2.2 [465]		LVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): -11.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	10	86%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	25	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Ebanks	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	27	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	9	33%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.06	-0.04	11	57%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.01	19	60%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	18	57%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	93%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	11	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	9	72%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	31.4	15.7	22.3	1.8	28.2	123.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.3%

PHX +9.3%

LAL -20.0%

PHX +20.8%

LAL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.6	111.7	131.6	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		103.8	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	14.8	16.3	14.7	15.5
PHX	12.8	15.2	14.4	18.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	20.0	15.4	4.63	16.0	15.0	1.01
Andrew Goudelock	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	20.0	15.4	4.63	16.0	15.0	1.01
Ramon Sessions	61	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-18	16	15.0	16.4	-1.47	14.0	16.7	-2.61
Josh McRoberts	24	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-8	-4	15.9	15.3	0.55	16.8	14.3	2.47
Devin Ebanks	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-11	2	15.2	16.1	-0.97	14.0	17.3	-3.31
Pau Gasol	78	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-13	6	15.2	16.8	-1.62	15.2	14.0	1.25
Troy Murphy	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-7	-6	17.5	15.1	2.45	13.9	15.2	-1.37
Metta World Peace	62	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-12	4	15.4	15.7	-0.29	15.3	14.5	0.77
Andrew Bynum	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-12	4	15.2	16.3	-1.16	14.4	17.0	-2.61
Steve Blake	31	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-6	-8	16.2	15.1	1.08	16.7	14.1	2.58
Matt Barnes	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	-1	-18	15.7	15.0	0.75	15.8	13.7	2.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	41	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	7	6	16.3	14.0	2.26	15.0	15.8	-0.73
Markieff Morris	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	9	2	16.0	13.9	2.13	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Michael Redd	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	1	18	16.1	13.8	2.31	14.8	16.3	-1.45
Robin Lopez	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	13	-6	16.6	13.9	2.64	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Sebastian Telfair	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	9	2	16.2	14.1	2.12	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Marcin Gortat	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.18	13	7	6	14.1	16.2	-2.05	16.1	14.7	1.38
Steve Nash	54	52	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	11	-2	13.9	16.5	-2.68	15.9	14.9	0.98
Shannon Brown	60	58	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	11	-2	14.2	16.3	-2.06	15.9	14.7	1.25
Channing Frye	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	11	-2	13.9	16.0	-2.13	15.9	15.0	0.89
Jared Dudley	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	21	-22	13.4	16.1	-2.69	16.1	15.1	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, VAN 109	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NJN 72, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIL 86, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%