NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	4.7 [895]		MVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): +15.9%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	2.7 [711]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -13.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	10	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	36%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	16	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.01	-0.02	9	81%	0.17	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.06	0.03	12	68%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	4	-0.08	7	43%	-0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	25.4	15.6	26.0	1.5	32.4	126.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.1%

UTA +3.9%

UTA +16.5%

MIL -0.2%

MIL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.4	88.7	103.1	104.1
season	14.7	16.0		101.6	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	13.1	15.0	13.2	13.9
UTA	15.6	16.9	15.0	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-21	28	13.7	14.0	-0.36	16.4	15.4	0.96
Tobias Harris	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	16.3	13.9	2.48	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Joel Przybilla	5	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-10	6	13.4	14.0	-0.56	16.0	15.7	0.25
Samuel Dalembert	54	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-13	12	14.0	13.8	0.16	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Ekpe Udoh	13	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-5	-4	13.7	14.0	-0.27	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Drew Gooden	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-14	14	14.0	13.9	0.10	16.2	15.6	0.54
Ersan Ilyasova	58	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-9	4	14.2	13.6	0.61	16.8	14.2	2.61
Brandon Jennings	72	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-9	4	13.7	14.7	-1.01	16.4	14.2	2.13
John Henson	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-5	-4	13.6	14.2	-0.61	14.2	16.8	-2.61
Monta Ellis	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	13.9	14.0	-0.15	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Beno Udrih	52	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	3	-20	14.5	13.2	1.27	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Mike Dunleavy	63	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	3	-20	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.6	16.0	-0.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-4	22	15.8	15.7	0.10	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Paul Millsap	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	2	10	16.0	15.0	0.99	13.9	14.0	-0.15
Alec Burks	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	0	14	15.7	15.9	-0.22	13.3	14.9	-1.65
Derrick Favors	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	5	4	15.8	15.7	0.07	13.8	14.0	-0.16
Enes Kanter	34	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	6	2	15.6	15.9	-0.31	13.4	14.2	-0.81
Al Jefferson	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	8	-2	15.9	15.6	0.31	14.2	13.4	0.81
Randy Foye	57	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	7	0	15.3	16.4	-1.17	14.1	13.6	0.52
Jamaal Tinsley	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	14	-14	15.9	15.7	0.22	14.9	13.3	1.65
Marvin Williams	42	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	14	-14	15.6	15.9	-0.34	15.0	13.0	2.05
Jeremy Evans	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.5	15.7	3.82	5.0	14.0	-9.02
Kevin Murphy	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.5	15.7	3.82	5.0	14.0	-9.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 103, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.6%
SAC 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%